One of the things I'm finding so interesting about large language models like GPT-3 and ChatGPT is that they're pretty much the world's most impressive party trick
All they do is predict the next word based on previous context. It turns out when you scale the model above a certain size it can give the false impression of "intelligence", but that's a total fraud
It's all smoke and mirrors! The intriguing challenge is finding useful tasks you can apply them to in spite of the many, many footguns
And in case this post wasn't clear: I'm all-in on large language models: they confidently pass my personal test for if a piece of technology is worth learning:
"Does this let me build things that I could not have built without it?"
What I find interesting is that - on the surface - they look like they solve a lot more problems than they actually do, partly thanks to the confidence with which they present themselves
Figuring out what they're genuinely good for is a very interesting challenge
The way I look at it. Machine learning in general (including these large language models) are great when you have the following problem criteria
#1: You need to build a pattern matcher
#2: You don't know what to look for.
#3: When the pattern matcher is finally built you don't care to know what it actually looks for
#4: The results are allowed to be hilariously, insanely wrong some % of the time
And there are actually a lot of things that match that criteria
@pamelafox @ncweaver the 1-1 therapy thing is terrifying to me - imagine trying to get therapy from your iPhone keyboard!
But that said, I do use ChatGPT as an alternative to rubber duck programming sometimes: if I'm stuck on something I'll kick off a conversation purely as a thinking aid, and it's often effective
That feels pretty different to me from the therapy thing, but not a million miles away from it
@ncweaver I really like that criteria list
It would be really useful if there was a solid, easy to understand list of use-cases and anti-use-cases to point people to
@simon I think for anti-use case, #4 itself captures it. "Is it OK if you are hilariously, outrageously, gobsmackingly wrong and you don't know it?"
Which is why I find Tesla's "AI first" development model for autonomy frightening, beyond just the fact that they are training it based on how Tesla drivers drive...
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