♦️ ereliuer eteer ♦️Ava and Eve are identical twins, but Ava tells the truth with a probability of 0.75, and Eve tells the truth with a probability of 0.25 (independently of each other). Suppose, I meet them in the street and ask one of them: “Are you Ava or Eve?” and she responds “I'm Ava.” Then I ask the other girl: “Did she tell the truth?” and she responds “Yes.” What are the chances that both girls told the truth this time?
Peter@ereliuer_eteer Hi, I stumbled upon this question via @ionica. If I remember correctly my statistics course 40 years ago I think the answer is 0,1875. This is the result of 0,75*0,25.