Even though they're technically not contradictory, I'm not sure how to reconcile the following two things:

1. Nearly every time an outsider says that people are doing X stupidly and could do way better, they're wrong for boring reasons that are obvious to any insider.

2. It seems fairly easy* to find huge wins as an outsider.

At some level, maybe this is like https://danluu.com/p95-skill/, where the median player in an objective-based game regularly loses because they don't touch the objective, but