Tim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
1. Early report was that Putin {Путин} was planning to spend the New Year holiday in the doomsday bunker under Yamantau Mountain with his family. It sounded delightful. Then I saw a report he was in Sochi. I haven't had confirmation either way but I can confirm that the
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤
2. propaganda that warned of trouble in Moscow proved how easy it is to impact Putin's command decisions. It caused him to put on a brutal show of force in Moscow. Not the actions of someone who thinks they're in full control. And I don't think he'd go to Sochi.
Jan 1, 2023 at 5:43amWeb
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
3. I live on an Island with big US military bases that was threatened with invasion 81 years ago. Back then the enemy didn't have drones. They had to steam 6,500 km. Ukraine has drones that can reach his Dacha and return in a day. It doesn't appear hardened. He's a sitting duck.
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
4. 43 years ago, before I moved to Honolulu, I worked with some of the first Russians to get out when I managed a large midtown Manhattan hotel restaurant. I've spent a lot of time in NYC. Night manager at the Plaza and I've learned stuff. One thing I've learned is not to
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
5. start a blood feud with anyone especially not with the Ukrainians. They'd be pretty low on my list of folks I'd want to do that with. And I definitely would not feel safe in my living room overlooking the Black Sea after I shoot missiles at Ukrainian school kids and hospitals.
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
6. I think Putin's going to be the bunker boy from now on. No more beaches. Nuke bunkers or the secret Dacha at Valdai outside of St. Petersburg. With a another brutal phase of his conscription about to rock Russian society, including Moscow, he's likely to live
Show threadTim Hogan 浩勤Jan 1, 2023
7. off of deep fakes from now on. Bunkers often become important in the final days of a dictatorship.