Andrew Conway MorrisDec 18, 2022
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
Interesting review paper just out in Nature. "Heatwaves are anticipated to become more frequent, persistent and intense in nearly all inhabited regions, with trends amplified by soil drying in some areas, especially the mid-latitudes." https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-022-00371-z
Prediction and projection of heatwaves - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

Heatwaves are occurring with increasing frequency and intensity, necessitating prediction so as to minimize loss of life and other impacts. This Review outlines heatwave predictive capabilities at daily to decadal timescales, and discusses heatwave projections with anthropogenic warming.

Nature
Dec 14, 2022 at 6:23pmWeb
Show threadJakob Thoböll - R.I.P. NatenomDec 14, 2022
@rahmstorf had several papers to specific aspects of this topics in my hand this year. Although with different methods and questions, they agreed on the basic fact of increasing propability, intensity and persistence of heatwaves.
Show threadarkywarkyDec 14, 2022
@rahmstorf who could've predicted this???? /s
Show threadNic Oh_nlein! Dec 14, 2022

@rahmstorf

Die 1,5 Grad sind durch, das sollte mittlerweile allen klar sein!

Und dafür, dass es nicht viel mehr wird setzt sich @AufstandLastGen ein. Nichts anderes!

Show threadmeinwilhelmDec 14, 2022
@rahmstorf . Well, dont get me wrong, the fact that heat waves become more drastic is obvious even from the picture, but, i am no friend of this pic... It looks like someone fitted a non gaussian distribution with a gaussian curve. And, please correct me if I m wrong, isnt 30years the lower limit of what we call climate? Worst of all: i had to try quiet hard for some time, to explain it to my girlfriend 😉
Show threadmeinwilhelmDec 14, 2022
Still thank u sooo much. for making science visible.
Show threadProf. Stefan RahmstorfDec 15, 2022
@meinwilhelm Actually, this kind of temperature data are pretty gaussian if you take a period with stable temperatures like 1950-1980. See one of the older Jim Hansen papers which shows that. And the "30 years" is a pretty arbitrary definition, not some kind of general law. It of course depends on what you want to look at. Here the 30 red years are very clearly significantly different, but just using the past 20 years would completely suffice to show that.
Show threadSmokeyGeoDec 14, 2022
@rahmstorf texans & southerners are used to installing air conditioning as a cure to heatwaves