I don't understand what you mean by "the voting spread". Adams had more first round ballots than anyone, and would have won a first-past-the-post election. https://www.vote.nyc/sites/default/files/pdf/election_results/2021/20210622Primary%20Election/rcv/024306_1.html
Adams would have beaten every other candidate in a one-on-one contest. Who else should win?
https://fairvote.org/rcv_in_new_york_city/
#RankedChoiceVoting
@BlueDot the thing you gotta remember about these after election analyses is that the campaign matters. I think it's wrong to think that, for example, Adams's voters would have always chosen their second ranking over their third automatically in a head to head race between the two. So the whole Condorcet thing is a bit wishy washy to me.
I think the only thing you can tell from the records of an election is who won that election, not who would have won in a different election in an alternate universe.
@afowles I think I understand what you're saying: a one on one contest between, say, Adams and Garcia might have been a different campaign than the one that was waged.
Still, if a voter marks the ballot for, say, Adams at #2 and Garcia at #3, I cannot imagine what that voter could possibly mean other than they would prefer Adams to Garcia.
I may not like Adams as a mayor, but it's unambiguously true that he's the one New York voters prefer. If there's evidence to the contrary, educate me.
@BlueDot their preferences may have come out differently in a non RCV election. Maybe Garcia would have come out differently in a non RCV campaign and hit people differently.
This was a partisan primary, so it's not as easy as saying dems will always vote for Dems and repubs will always vote for repubs. Like a nonpartisan race it's more nuanced.
@afowles So there's some kind of Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle for elections?
We may be overthinking this. We already know #RankedChoiceVoting is guaranteed to produce the #Condorcet winner (if there IS a Condorcet winner). This particular primary election could have been fought differently, but was not. My earlier question---somehow the thread no longer includes the person I asked---wasn't "Could it have been different?" but rather "In what way did we not get the right outcome?"
The big news this election cycle (the MSM predictably will not cover) is Nevada joining Maine and Alaska to become the third state to declare they’ve had enough of a broken and corrupt two-party duopoly (a voting system based not on majority rule, but...
BlueDot🇺🇦
Aaron Fowles
Michael Tosner