We should start a pool: When will Twitter fold?
Within 1 month
17.9%
Within 6 months
37.5%
Within 1 year
8.9%
Not gonna' happen
35.7%
Poll ended at .

So far, people are guessing that Twitter will fold within one year (a total of 63%) as opposed to "not gonna' happen" at 37%.

A lot depends on what you mean by "fold." My guess is that in a short while Twitter will be very different: less influential, less reliable, with far fewer participants.

The poll is here: https://noc.social/@jesseliberty/109372632725029902

Jesse Liberty (@[email protected])

We should start a pool: When will Twitter fold? [ ] Within 1 month [ ] Within 6 months [ ] Within 1 year [ ] Not gonna' happen

Noc.Social
@jesseliberty I say it won't happen. It'll go the way of myspace, still around but a shell of it's former self.
@jesseliberty I don't think it'll fold. Look how MySpace has continued existing, as well as tumblr, and livejournal.
It may turn into a shell of its former self, but unless he manages to chase off *every* advertiser. . .