emptywheelNov 19, 2022

As I noted on the failing bird, Garland's cited recent developments, plural, in appointing a Special Counsel yesterday.

The more urgent development is probably the GOP majority in Congress, not Trump.

We know, eg, that Scott Perry is almost certainly a subject of the investigation (they already seized his phone). If Jim Jordan is, too, that by itself would require the SCO, since Jordan will be HJC Chair demanding info on investigation.

Show threadForbestonowNov 19, 2022
@emptywheel
Thank you. I have not heard a single other mention of that aspect and it clarifies it a lot.
Show threademptywheelNov 19, 2022

@Forbestonow If someone were charged they would not have to resign, but that usually happens.

Replacements would be special elections. Most are in really safe GOP seats.

Show threadKailaNov 19, 2022
@emptywheel @Forbestonow Not necessarily all - PA Republican party has a recent history of nominating people from the far right and we've come within 2% of sending Perry home before (although not this year). The right person could win an open seat I think and Dems might have the motivation to turn out.
Show threademptywheel
@kailagenevieve @Forbestonow What was the margin this year?
Nov 19, 2022 at 12:51pmWeb
Show threadKailaNov 19, 2022
@emptywheel @Forbestonow 8% this year but Perry enjoys a lot more name recognition than anyone up against him. Without that in play, who knows? Money will also be a factor as it will gush in for a special election regardless of where it is on both sides.
Show threademptywheelNov 19, 2022
@kailagenevieve TY @Forbestonow
Show threadDeanNov 19, 2022

@emptywheel @kailagenevieve @Forbestonow

The best challenger to Perry was Depasquale, who didn't run this year. Perry's challenger this year had basically 0 local presence.