Can Big Social just swoop in and take over the Fediverse on a whim?

Realistically, that can't happen.

1. Pivoting a big business is like captaining an aircraft carrier: it is slow and takes deliberation
2. Most businesses don't like to kill their cash cow, and the network effect that they own is their cash cow
3. Big Social itself is in disarray and doesn't have the wherewithal to make good strategic decisions

And there's other reasons too! 🧵

Big Social are no longer the innovators they were.

In actuality, for the past 10 years, most innovations in social media have been created by small, nimble players—which Big Social then attempts to either acquire or copy.

In essence, they've replaced R&D with M&A.

Thus, they probably have nothing new to add to the Fediverse.

The Fediverse is one thing that Big Social cannot acquire or copy.

No one owns the Fediverse, so that's not an option.

And to copy or integrate the Fediverse is to kill their own cash cows.

In essence, the Fediverse targets the chunk in their armour.

Big Social is obsessed with metrics, and proving value through metrics.

What metrics prove the Fediverse's value?

No one knows. Every metric regarding the Fediverse is at best conjecture. Nobody even knows its true size.

Hard to convince a CEO to buy into an idea when nothing is probable through metrics.

Nobody has validated the Fediverse as a place to make money.

Sure, tiny web-hosts might charge for services, but the average Big Social executive isn't looking to make tiny increases in a new venture. They want to 100x or 1,000x their ROI.

Somebody might eventually try this, but Big Social isn't going to be first.

Yes, Big Social has more than enough money and tech to upset the Fediverse.

What they don't have is the capacity to onboard knowledge about the Fediverse quickly and easily.

This is because the actual inner workings of the Fediverse are held by only a small handful of people.

Believe it or not, most people who work at Big Social are *not* social media nerds, and have zero interest in how the technology works.

When they look at Mastodon, their response is pretty much the same as everyone else's: they throw up their hands and say, "This is too complicated!"

And then they close their browser tab.

The only way Big Social challenges the Fediverse is through small competing skunkworks projects.

Which has actually happened with Jack Dorsey's Blue Sky project.

And to be honest, I'm skeptical about Blue Sky for many reasons—which I may talk about in a separate thread.

But more to the point, Blue Sky has been around for 4 years—and why aren't we using Blue Sky?

Before the Fediverse took off this month, Big Social was already intent on pivoting their big aircraft carriers into other "Next Big Thing" initiatives. Too much money and manpower has been staked into making stuff like the Metaverse happen.

They're not going to suddenly stop their current pivot to pivot again into the Fediverse.

@atomicpoet The Cloud Czars (except Meta) want nothing to do with social right now. Microsoft exited decades ago.
@DanaBlankenhorn Microsoft owns LinkedIn. But LinkedIn definitely aren't joining the Fediverse.

@atomicpoet @DanaBlankenhorn
You say LinkedIn aren't joining the fediverse with certainty, but it does strike me as something "new Microsoft" might recognise as a valid good move.

@Microsoft are here already, just via 3rd party, so toes are dipped.

They have had LinkedIn.social for 8 years, so maybe they can finally use it... 🤔

(mostly joking, slightly hoping)

@davidcampey
> @Microsoft are here already, just via 3rd party, so toes are dipped.

Did you look at the posts? This is clearly a parody account, like every account I've seen on brands.town so far. There have been MS staff (current and former) here for a long time, but I don't think they're here as a company (yet).

@atomicpoet @DanaBlankenhorn

@strypey @atomicpoet @DanaBlankenhorn

Thanks, yes #BrandsTown is definitely satire / trolling, know that now.

I read the top toots and it seemed okay, and I was trying a different client, so thought the "blue ticks" were verified URLs 🙈

It also looks like brands.town has been defederated from mastodon.online, because I can't even search for that account from my mobile clients now, can only see it in browser https://brands.town/@Microsoft

Microsoft :verified: (@[email protected])

59 Posts, 13 Following, 157 Followers · We're on a mission to empower every person and every organization on the planet to achieve more.

Brands Town

@davidcampey
Aww, that's a shame. Yes Men style anti-corporate parody is awesome. I guess it violates some server rules around clearly marketing parody at parody?

@atomicpoet @DanaBlankenhorn