Gary Patent

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#HOUSE #ELECTION MATH: It’s over. The fat baby (yes, that awful orange one) has unfortunately sung.

Rs have the house. At this point it’s about giving them the slimmest majority possible.

5 entirely uncalled races remain (CNN has bafflingly held out on calling CO8 for days, despite the R’s concession):

Nov 17, 2022 at 7:44pmWeb
Show threadGary PatentNov 17, 2022

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CA22: R up 5.56% / 3965 votes (lead grew .71%)
CA3: R up 4.58% / 8918 votes (lead shrank 1.00%)
CA47: D up 2.75% / 6920 votes (lead grew 1.16%)
CA13: R up .81% / 963 votes (R overtook D)
CO3: R up .34% / 1097 votes (lead shrank .01%)
AK1: D at 48.13%

AK uses ranked-choice. Peltola needs 50% to win without a 2nd round. It looks good for her either way. She’d previously beaten Palin with an even smaller margin.

Show threadGary PatentNov 17, 2022
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We'll ultimately land between D:212/R:223 & D:215/R:220, contingent on Frisch overtaking Boebert in CO3, Porter holding CA47 (only MSN called this so far), and Gray taking lead in CA13. Maybe Ds can reach 216 if CA3's R lead continues to shrink as much as it did yesterday.