SuperBowlLVIII  #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 receptions (-145 Caesers):

We have seen VINTAGE Kelce this postseason, as he has 23 receptions over his 3 playoff games, with a whopping 11 last week against BAL. He has also caught 22 passes in 3 career SB games.

While the Niners have been able to limit TEs to a mere 50 yards per game (17th in NFL), they give up a nearly 8 targets per game & 5.5 receptions to the position. Both top 7 in the league

Kraft and Musgrave combined for 6 receptions in the divisional round, with LaPorta recording a STAGGERING 9 receptions in the championship game

Add in Rashee Rice popping up on the injury report with an ankle injury, there’s more reason to expect a heavy dose of Kelce in this game

SuperBowlLVIII  #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

Kyle Jusczcyk OVER 0.5 receptions (-150 Bet365):

Coming off 2 receptions on 3 targets in the NFC Championship Game (off broken plays), the 49ers will need to get more creative against a much better Chiefs defense. I believe Juice has 1-2 plays drawn up for him with heavy focus from KC on Christian McCaffrey

Jusczcyk has played 4 games in his career against KC (3 with SF), and has had 13 rec on 21 tgts (min 2 rec in every game).

1 catch to a defense that have allowed 28 targets over the last 3 playoff games to RBs coming out of the backfield (CMC wont be the only player here getting targets). I think this is a great spot

SuperBowlLVIII  #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

Deebo Samuel OVER 4.5 receptions (-122 FanDuel):

THIS will be a Deebo Samuel game. Samuel has been targeted on over 27% of his routes over the last two postseasons via SharpFootballAnalysis. The Niners incorporate screens & shovels for Deebo to get the ball in space, which is a big deal for cheap receptions.

Those cheap receptions will most likely be emphasized as among all receivers with at least 20 targets, Deebo is #1 in the NFL in yards after catch via @ActionNetworkHQ@twitter.com

Deebo had 6 receptions in the championship game and 5 receptions for 92 total yards in the last SB meeting between these two. Against the two high safety look the Chiefs primarily run, I think Deebo will be the most targeted Niner in this game.

I also like Deebo OVER 16.5 rush yds & OVER 78.5 rush/rec yds

SuperBowlLVIII  #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

Christian McCaffrey OVER 91.5 rushing yards (FanDuel):

The Kansas City Chiefs hit RBs at or behind the line of scrimmage 37% of the time (2nd worst). CMC led the NFL in total yards gained (877) & second in yards per carry gained (3.2 min. 150 att) before first contact

McCaffrey has hit his OVER rushing yards prop in 9 of his last 10 games & hit 90+ rushing yards in 8 of his last 10. Including both playoff games

If the Niners are going to win the SB, McCaffrey should smash this line

SuperBowlLVIII  #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

George Kittle OVER 47.5 receiving yards (FanDuel):

Shoutout to @JordanVanekDFS@twitter.com who was the first I saw on this line. As Jordan states in his video, Kittle is the #1 target for the Niners against the blitz this season. The Chiefs are blitzing on 32.9% of plays (7th most in NFL) & 28.3% of opposing drop backs (12th most)

George Kittle played against two teams in Vikings and Buccaneers this season that rank ahead of the Chiefs in opposing blitz %. Kittle in those games:

VS MIN - 5 rec / 78 rec yds / 7 🎯

VS TB - 8 rec / 89 rec yds / 9 🎯

George Kittle is in a smash spot to crush this line

#SuperBowlLVIII #PlayerProp SMASH PLAY 💥

Patrick Mahomes OVER 25.5 rush yards (FanDuel):

Mahomes has rushed for 29+ yards in each of his three Super Bowl appearances.

While the 49ers ranked 17th in QB rushing yards allowed per game (17 YPG), they allowed the 7th-most rushing attempts to QBs

Against this pass rush, Mahomes WILL be scrambling and using his feet to extend plays. This line is taking into account his average over his last 5 games. I love this as my first player prop this week

SMASH THE OVER 💥Pat Freiermuth ⬆️ 2.5 receptions

This is my FAVORITE #PlayerProp for the Saturday game between the Bengals and the Steelers

The Bengals allow NEARLY 7 receptions per game to opposing TEs this season (MOST in the NFL) and Mason Rudolph should be looking for easier low aDOT throws in this struggling offense

Freiermuth has played Cincinnati 5 times in his career and he’s cleared 3+ receptions in EVERY game

FULL BETTING CARD coming in the AM!

SMASH THE OVER 💥Chris Olave ⬆️59.5 RECEIVING YARDS

This is my FAVORITE #PlayerProp for the #TNFonPrime game between the Saints and the Rams

The Rams allow THE MOST fantasy points per game to outside wide receivers (28.6 PPG) & Chris Olave has run the most snaps out wide of any Saints WR this season

Last 5 primarily outside WR games vs LAR:

DK Metcalf - 5/94
Hollywood Brown - 6/88
Amari Cooper - 3/34
Odell Beckham - 4/97
Terry McLaurin 6/141

More plays coming later today!

The best day to win money is on Thanksgiving

What’s your favorite #PlayerProp for the NFL games tomorrow?

Jayden Reed Ov 33.5 yards on FD 💥

Reed has hit this in all 4 games this season and even with Watson last week, still had 3 receptions & 55 yards on 5 targets

LV has allowed fast WRs to eat against them (Gabe Davis 6/92/Calvin Austin 2/72)/Josh Palmer 3/77)

Will probably be the ogo w#PlayerProp

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