@tb It's mostly a hindsight is 20/20 thing.
It's a lot easier to retroactively assess critical pivots once they've already been demonstrated as such.
Although at the same time, one has to be certain it isn't just a single emergent manifestation of a general probability attaining realization.
#MultipleDiscovery and #SimultaneousInvention are two examples of such a thing where addressing any single instance would do all of nothing.