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#SportsBetting #BettingStrategy #KellyCriterion #ValueBetting #SportsAnalytics #AItools

With a 64% success rate for Club World Cup predictions, the most profitable method is a variation of the Kelly criterion (+536%). #SportsBetting, #KellyCriterion

http://quatrequarts.blog/2025/07/02/cwc-2025-predictions-review/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

A look back at the 2025 Club World Cup Predictions (Regular updates)

The analysis compares the profitability of the Kelly Criterion and Fixed Stakes in sports betting. The Kelly method significantly outperformed Fixed Stakes, but carries higher risk, especially duri…

Quatre Quarts

With a 64% success rate for Club World Cup predictions, the most profitable method is a variation of the Kelly criterion (+536%). #SportsBetting, #KellyCriterion

http://quatrequarts.blog/2025/07/02/cwc-2025-predictions-review/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

A look back at the 2025 Club World Cup Predictions (Regular updates)

The analysis compares the profitability of the Kelly Criterion and Fixed Stakes in sports betting. The Kelly method significantly outperformed Fixed Stakes, but carries higher risk, especially duri…

Quatre Quarts
A look back at the 2025 Club World Cup Predictions (Regular updates)

The analysis compares the profitability of the Kelly Criterion and Fixed Stakes in sports betting. The Kelly method significantly outperformed Fixed Stakes, but carries higher risk, especially duri…

Quatre Quarts
A look back at the 2025 Club World Cup Predictions (Status as of 02.07)

Which Betting Strategies Deliver on Their Promises? We’ve provided you with several prediction articles for the 2025 Club World Cup. Here, we’ll conduct an initial assessment of these p…

Quatre Quarts
A look back at the 2025 Club World Cup predictions (Status as of June 28)

Which Betting Strategies Deliver on Their Promises? We’ve offered you several prediction articles for the 2025 Club World Cup. Here, we’ll conduct an initial assessment of these predict…

Quatre Quarts

📈 Nos stratégies de paris sportifs pour la Coupe du Monde des Clubs 2025 ont-elles tenu leurs promesses ? Découvrez notre analyse détaillée des gains potentiels avec 4 méthodes différentes (Kelly, mise fixe...) et un taux de réussite de 67% ! Les chiffres parlent d'eux-mêmes... 👇
#CDMClub2025 #PronosticsFoot #ParisSportifs #AnalyseStatistique #KellyCriterion #Football

http://quatrequarts.blog/2025/06/28/retour-sur-les-pronostics-coupe-du-monde-des-clubs-2025-etat-des-lieux-au-28-06/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=jetpack_social

Retour sur les Pronostics Coupe du Monde des Clubs 2025 (État des lieux au 28.06)

L’analyse des pronostics pour la Coupe du monde des Clubs 2025 révèle que la méthode de mise selon le critère de Kelly a généré les meilleurs résultats financiers, malgré des risques accrus.…

Quatre Quarts

A funny paper from 1979: 'Why We Should Not Make Mean Log of Wealth Big Though Years to Act Are Long' https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=8d9c06de772124caff8179d83d31fc9f7ffe5ed7

This is about the Kelly Criterion, which is a suggestion for how much you should bet on a risky investment with positive expected value. There was a heated debate about whether this criterion was only useful when your utility was logarithmic in money, or if it had broader applicability. The argument got so bad that Samuelson thought his opponents needed everything explained in words of one syllable!

Not only is this very patronising, he also screws it up by using two syllable words in a couple of places. But I still think he's right about the Kelly Criterion.

#Math #Maths #Mathematics #KellyCriterion