Presumption: Trump is being blackmailed by Putin over at least one matter.
Trump is burning US credibility as an ally by performing "I'll invade Greenland" to threaten Putin.
"If you release that material then I'll invade Greenland."
The threatened tariffs on India for importing RU oil would be another counter-threat. "I will harm you in so many ways if you release that material."
A #Blackmail / #Komopromat scenario
Putin has (possibilities):
Proof of Trump being a RU plant (AIUI #MarcyWheeler's view).
CSA material featuring Trump from Trump's RU business trips.
CSA material like Epstein's putative tapes.
The pee tapes.
Something else.
Trump counter-threats / cons against public release:
#InvadeGreenland.
#UkraineInNATO.
Loss of usefulness of plant.
Other:
Trump: utterly selfish, aging, post-2028 Presidency faces major obstacles.
Putin: enjoys humilating USA?
So how would Putin releasing any very serious #Kompromat video he has on Trump actually go down?
Timing?
Midterms?
2027?
Stop Trump retaliation of #InvadeGreenland & "make UKR #NATO"?
Distribution channels?
How to spike "it's all deep fake" lies by Trump?
How to take out Trump but leave RUophiles in charge?
Video would be Child Abuse Material - illegal to own or distribute.
Is #InvadeGreenland Trump threatening Putin?
Seems unlikely that Trump would willingly give anyone power over himself by telling them "Putin has #Kompromat on me".
And it's hard to think of any excuse by Trump that would have a Trump gang associate come up with "Invade Greenland".
If there is ever a history of Trump's (mal) administration made then I'm predicting it'll be found that "Invade Greenland" originated from Mr Donald John Trump himself.
In as much as Putin told Trump not to bomb Iran, I now see Trump is not owned by Putin.
How much the threat to Putin of "I'll #InvadeGreenland if you release the Kompromat" gave Trump room to bomb Iran I don't know.
But I think it is now clear that Trump is not completely under Putin's control.
If Putin does release Kompromat, it would more likely be timed such that Trump wouldn't be able to invade Greenland before losing power.
@FrancoisPrague @EugeneMcParland
Yes. See #InvadeGreenland for a post about how Trump may be trying to make things more complicated.
Where did "Invade Greenland" come from?
I don't know.
But one way of responding to blackmail / #Kompromat is to make believable-enough threats about what will be done to the blackmailer if the kompromat is ever released / made public.
Which may have "Invade Greenland" as part of what Donald is threatening to do to Russia if Putin were to release the (presumed) kompromat.
Trump may have bought himself some wriggle-room. And would be trying to get more.
skua