U.S. Treasury prices rallied across the curve as ceasefire negotiations between the U.S. and Iran revived risk appetite, with the 10-year yield falling 7.80 basis points to 4.361% amid easing rate hike expectations and relief over the absence of ground troop deployment in the Middle East conflict.
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US Treasuries Rally as Ceasefire Hopes Revive Risk Appetite
U.S. Treasury prices rallied across the curve as ceasefire negotiations between the U.S. and Iran revived risk appetite, with the 10-year yield falling 7.80 basis points to 4.361% amid easing rate hike expectations and relief over the absence of ground troop deployment in the Middle East conflict.
Fed Funds Futures Market Shows Modest Rate Hike Bets Emerging, 2.7% by June
Fed funds futures market signals emerging rate hike expectations with projections reaching 2.7% by June, reflecting shifting monetary policy outlook
Federal Reserve maintains federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated economic uncertainty and Middle East concerns, with one dissenting vote favoring a 0.25 percentage point cut as Committee monitors dual mandate risks while remaining committed to 2% inflation target and maximum employment objectives.
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Fed Projects 2026 Federal Funds Rate at 3.4% - Unchanged from Previous Forecast
Federal Reserve maintains its median federal funds rate projection for 2026 at 3.4%, signaling steady monetary policy outlook amid ongoing economic assessment
Fed Projects 3.1% Federal Funds Rate for 2027, Unchanged from Previous Forecast
Federal Reserve maintains its median federal funds rate projection at 3.1% for 2027, signaling steady long-term monetary policy outlook amid ongoing economic assessment
Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Group's chief economic adviser, highlighted growing divisions within the FOMC as revealed in the January minutes, noting a wide range of views on future rate policy and the use of "two-sided" language, reflecting the complexity of the U.S. economy and the Fed's leadership transition.
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El-Erian Says FOMC Appearing Increasingly Divided - Yonhap Infomax
Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Group's chief economic adviser, highlighted growing divisions wi
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%, citing solid economic growth and persistent inflation, while signaling continued vigilance on risks to its dual mandate.
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Full Translation of January FOMC Statement
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%, citing solid economic growth and persistent inflation, while signaling continued vigilance on risks to its dual mandate.
Record Sell-Off in US Rate Futures Likely Driven by Position Unwinding
A record block sell order in US federal funds rate futures triggered a sharp drop in open interest, signaling major position unwinding and impacting short-term Treasury yields.
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