Daniel Donner

@donnermaps
207 Followers
113 Following
77 Posts
Daily Kos Elections. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Also @donnermaps bluesky, where I'm mainly hanging out these days.
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The share claiming Eastern European heritage is quite large in many congressional districts. #ukraine

Ukrainians and Eastern Europeans and their descenents make up a substantial portion of many congressional districts in the Midwest & Northeast, held by both Republicans and Democrats. Cutting off aid to Ukraine might not be the best political move for the GOP.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/2/24/2154012/-Slava-Ukraina-A-Republican-vote-to-defund-Ukraine-would-come-at-their-own-peril

The right-hand panel combines both measures and plots seat margin vs popular vote. The bottom left quadrant shows that one time the GOP won the Senate and the popular vote. Upper right, Dems won both. Here, the point of coloring the data by year becomes apparent. 4/4
The bottom left panel shows who won the popular vote. Republicans have pulled that off just once, in 1998. Democrats won it every other time. 3/
In the top left, a simple plot showing who controlled the Senate: Dems (above the horizontal line) or GOP (below). The data are colored to show the progression of time from light (1994) to dark (2022). 2/

Recently, the GOP has *lost* the popular vote 8 out of 9 times it has controlled the Senate. (right panel, bottom right quadrant). New post from my colleague @[email protected] exploration of the figure follows… 1/

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/2/15/2148835/-Republicans-have-won-the-Senate-half-the-time-since-2000-despite-winning-fewer-votes-than-Democrats

Updated electoral college cartogram valid for 2024 and 2028 now available! Get it here: http://dkel.ec/map

@[email protected] uses it in a post about the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact here: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/2/9/2151860/-After-gaining-power-in-2022-Minnesota-Democrats-advance-bill-to-elect-the-president-by-popular-vote

Elections maps

Overview Prepared by Daniel Donner for Daily Kos Elections elections.dailykos.com @donnermaps @dkelections Welcome to the Daily Kos Elections map files! At Daily Kos Elections, we can't get enough of maps. Here's some we've made that we'd like to share. Scroll down to find Congressi...

Google Docs

We had a time of it figuring out what the borders of the GOP plan to split Maricopa County are supposed to be. Border of proposed Hohokam county goes from A to B to… C?!?

Read more about this proposal here:
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/2/2/2150505/-Afraid-of-losing-Arizona-s-biggest-county-Republicans-want-to-gerrymander-it-into-four-new-counties

Eleven House Republicans have lost primaries to non-incumbents in the last two election cycles. This is not normal. #elections #politics

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/1/26/2149229/-More-House-Republicans-now-losing-primaries-as-the-clowns-take-control-of-the-circus

Did Republican-Leaning Polls "Flood the Zone" in 2022?

Mischiefs of Faction writes about who was releasing polls in 2022. #elections #polls #politics

https://www.mischiefsoffaction.com/post/republican-polls-flood

Did Republican-Leaning Polls "Flood the Zone" in 2022?

2022 saw a rise in Republican-leaning pollsters as Election Day approached, which may have biased some aggregate forecasts.

Mischiefs of Faction