Regarding the oil market, optimism is premature. The Strait of Hormuz is conditionally open: mandatory approvals from Iran and duties are in place.
Krug Flintheart
@KrugFlintheart
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Private investor. Bitcoin optimistic since 2010. Crypto enthusiast, cypherpunk, geek, analyst, artist and a full-time trader. No trading advices
Trump’s speech gave markets zero clarity — war continues, strikes intensify, no timeline.
Oil rips back above $100.
Stocks rolling over again.
No peace, just escalation.
This downtrend isn’t over.
Interesting. Americas and Europe sell in the daytime while Korea and Japan buy at night. #bitcoin
US government officials and Wall Street analysis are starting to consdier the prospect that oil prices might surge to an unprecedeted $200 a barrel.
ok the Houthis are entering the war
next stop: ground operations on Iranian islands
and it means down of course #btc
don't forget sending me a tip from your polymarket success
next stop: ground operations on Iranian islands
and it means down of course #btc
don't forget sending me a tip from your polymarket success
So now everyone’s bracing for a potential US landing on Iranian islands — and if that scenario unfolds, markets likely keep sliding.
US and Israel keep signaling that Iran is “open to negotiations” — likely to cap oil prices — but Tehran keeps denying it.
Feels like markets are being propped up on narrative. If talks don’t materialize, Monday could be brutal. And if the Houthis escalate or the US moves to a ground op — that’s full-on bear territory.
Bullish currently. Nothing changed.
If Hormuz stays unstable, oil prices will keep rising. And in a world where traditional financial routes are disrupted or sanctioned, Bitcoin could see increased demand as a cross-border payment rail. ₿🌍
Iran is unlikely to capitulate — the conflict has shifted into a survival phase. Children casualties only harden anti-US and anti-Israel sentiment domestically. The Strait of Hormuz remains Iran’s last major lever of pressure, and even relatively small-scale daily drone activity can keep the entire region on edge.