#MissKittyPolitics
Does it go #nuclear or not?
General #Detonation (Global): Before its removal in March 2026, a broad #Polymarket contract for any #nuclear detonation worldwide by the end of 2026 carried approximately a 22% to 24% probability.
#MissKittyPolitics
The #Pollyanna lives.
Regional Conflicts: Markets on #Kalshi regarding a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal show a 17% chance of an agreement before June 2026, indicating continued high tensions but a non-zero path to #diplomacy.