Michał "rysiek" Woźniak · 🇺🇦Happy ninth Mastodon Won't Survive Day to all who celebrate!
https://mashable.com/article/mastodon-wont-survive
I blogged about that last year:
https://mstdn.social/@rysiek/114284660479008679
To his credit, Lance Ulanoff admitted then he was wrong about fedi:
https://mastodon.social/@Lance_Ulanoff/114285108628269898
Today more time has passed since the Mastodon Won't Survive piece got published than there is left until the AI bubble pops. 
Feeling old yet? 
Quinn Norton@rysiek it has shrunk a lot which i am sad about, but what people need to remember is that foss shit never goes away, even when you want it to 😂
deutrino@quinn @rysiek Diaspora* is proof positive of that. I log in like once every 3 years at this point and it's all still there.
I'm interested to hear your perception that fedi is shrinking, I don't share it (despite knowing that "Mastodon" MAUs - however they're tracked - are down from peak) but I also think I have a sort of bottom-up approach to finding ppl to follow after being here almost 10 years and also being distrustful of Firstname Lastname clearly-has-a-mortgage accounts who post Takes.
@deutrino @quinn yeah. I used to be pretty active there, years and years ago.
The sad thing is Diaspora* used to be the biggest of the FLOSS federated social networks, and they kinda acted up because of this. Never properly documented their protocol, I believe, and were definitely not interested in implementing any other protocol.
It's a sad irony that at some point Mastodon and broader ActivityPub-verse grew way larger than they've ever been and now they're kinda in a pickle.