Happy ninth Mastodon Won't Survive Day to all who celebrate!
https://mashable.com/article/mastodon-wont-survive

#Fediverse #Mastodon

Six reasons Mastodon won't survive

The hot new thing in social media has some big problems.

Mashable

I blogged about that last year:
https://mstdn.social/@rysiek/114284660479008679

To his credit, Lance Ulanoff admitted then he was wrong about fedi:
https://mastodon.social/@Lance_Ulanoff/114285108628269898

Today more time has passed since the Mastodon Won't Survive piece got published than there is left until the AI bubble pops.  

Feeling old yet? 

@rysiek what if Mastodon didn't survive and this is all limbo?
@rysiek it has shrunk a lot which i am sad about, but what people need to remember is that foss shit never goes away, even when you want it to 😂

@quinn I don't think growth for growth's sake is the way to go, and while it does provide *a* signal, it is not *the* signal so to speak.

I fully expect Bluesky to start enshittifying, because of course they will with their cryptocurrency bro overlords looking for payout eventually.

Meanwhile fedi is doing its thing, getting more resilient, easier to join, dealing with some long-term issues around moderation and so on. And will be there, better prepared than ever, for the next wave.

@rysiek @quinn what do you mean by payback eventually?
They will want it now if not yesterday!
@rysiek not many of my non geeky friends are here, and none of the communities I am trying to reach out to 😔
@rysiek there's a lot of good people saying important things on Twitter still, too. People I respect and people I care about. Network effects are crucial.
@quinn sure. and it's to some extent on us to create the network effects we want to see in the world.

@quinn @rysiek Diaspora* is proof positive of that. I log in like once every 3 years at this point and it's all still there.

I'm interested to hear your perception that fedi is shrinking, I don't share it (despite knowing that "Mastodon" MAUs - however they're tracked - are down from peak) but I also think I have a sort of bottom-up approach to finding ppl to follow after being here almost 10 years and also being distrustful of Firstname Lastname clearly-has-a-mortgage accounts who post Takes.

@quinn @rysiek (and to be clear I'm not saying such users are your main circle, but I'm guessing you might engage with them more than I do and I'm also guessing that those might account for a lot of the shrinkage.)
@rysiek *casually reading '8 years ago', not really believing it, looking at the calendar and groaning*
@BenjaminNelan
1990 was ten years ago, and you can't convince me otherwise.
@rysiek
@xinit @BenjaminNelan @rysiek I have to admit, it does sometimes feel like the 00s, 10s and 20s have been a slowly worsening series of time loops as everything slow crashes. So maybe it's only been 10 long time whimy years.

@Kalshann I have been watching old Law & Order TV shows, and then the 90s feel like the 1890s. I don't remember having hair or clothes like this.

@BenjaminNelan @rysiek

@rysiek 🥹🥹 yeah I miss the old days even tho I am around 20s I can feel back pain ehehe 😅😅