The logic of #Ukrainian Armed Forces operations - by #Yevgeny_Istrebin
From https://t.me/pravdaGerashchenko_en
#Russia’s ports of #Primorsk and #Ust_Luga handle the export of high-sulfur crude from #Siberia.
Previously, much of it was exported via the #Druzhba pipeline.
Along the pipeline route are the #Yaroslavl and #Kirishi refineries, which divert crude and produce petroleum products.
Crude offtake from the pipeline:
▪️ #Primorsk - 1.0 million barrels per day;
▪️ #Ust_Luga - 0.7 million bpd;
▪️ #Druzhba via #Ukraine - 0.2 million bpd;
▪️ #Kirishi refinery - 0.4 million bpd;
▪️ #Yaroslavl refinery - 0.3 million bpd.
Total: 2.6 million bpd out of 9.2 million bpd of total production - around 28%.
Redirecting such volumes to alternative routes is simply not feasible.
Once storage capacity is filled, #Russia will be forced to shut in production.
A The goal: to force production shutdowns at some fields through sustained disruption of exports and refining.
Out of the current 9.2 million bpd of production, the goal is to reduce output by 1-2 million bpd - ideally closer to 2 million.
Such disruption would need to be sustained for several months.
📹: #Ust_Luga
#ukraine #putinisamasskiller #putinisawarcriminal @kardinal691
Putin's IBS