Ton Lansink11h ago
A coherent reconstruction of Iran’s strategic logic: 35 years of institutional preparation, asymmetric doctrine, decentralized command. That is no coincidence. That is strategy.
#Iran #IRGC #Geopolitics #OperationEpicFury
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-long-game
Iran’s Long Game

Decades of preparation are paying off.

Foreign Affairs
Show threadTon Lansink10h ago
The decapitation paradox. The new IRGC commanders are younger, fought in Iraq and Lebanon, and believe they have defeated the U.S. before. They are neither more cautious nor more moderate. Decapitation accelerates escalation rather than stopping it.
#Decapitation #IRGC #Iran #Strategy #Khamenei
Show threadTon Lansink
But the article has its flaws. “Survival = victory” is a matter of definition. A regime that loses its air defense, navy, and 90% of its missile capabilities is fundamentally weakened strategically, even if it remains in power.
#IranWar #Strategy #Geopolitics #Hormuz
10:21amWeb
Show threadTon Lansink10h ago
She avoids the key question: What does survival mean when the nuclear infrastructure has been destroyed and economic exhaustion is structural?
#Iran #ForeignAffairs #NuclearIran #MiddleEast #US #Geopolitics