๐ 2024 launches ๐
๐บ๐ธ #SpaceX 134, others 20
๐จ๐ณ #China 68
๐ท๐บ #Russia 17
๐ฏ๐ต #Japan 7
๐ฎ๐ณ #India 5
๐ฎ๐ท #Iran 4
๐ช๐บ #Europe 3
๐ฐ๐ต #NorthKorea 1
๐ 2024 launches ๐
๐บ๐ธ #SpaceX 134, others 20
๐จ๐ณ #China 68
๐ท๐บ #Russia 17
๐ฏ๐ต #Japan 7
๐ฎ๐ณ #India 5
๐ฎ๐ท #Iran 4
๐ช๐บ #Europe 3
๐ฐ๐ต #NorthKorea 1
391 booster #landings so far
https://www.spacex.com/launches
History visualized : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_first-stage_landing_tests#Landings_of_Falcon_9_first-stage_boosters
How many do you expect in total until the end of ๐ 2026 (worldwide, all models) ?
The #FCC has granted #SpaceX permission to fly 12,000 #Starlink satellites, and the company has filed paperwork with an international regulator to loft up to 30,000 additional spacecraft.
To put that into perspective, as of Nov. 7, 2022, only 14,450 satellites have been launched in all of history with 6,800 currently active according to the #ESA. https://www.space.com/spacex-starlink-satellites.html
#Amazon is under time pressure โฑ๏ธ. The license issued by the US regulatory authorities for the operation of #satellite internet in 2020 requires half of the satellite network to be completed by ๐ July 2026. The rest must be in orbit by July 2029 โณ. More than 30 additional launches are planned with other companies, such as #Arianespace and #BlueOrigin. Even the competitor #SpaceX is helping out https://www.heise.de/en/news/Amazon-launches-the-first-internet-satellites-for-Project-Kuiper-next-week-10338214.html
#ULA : "Weather is observed and forecast NO GO ๐ for liftoff within the remaining launch window at Cape Canaveral". No new date has been scheduled https://www.cnet.com/science/space/amazon-scrubs-wednesday-rocket-launch-for-its-starlink-satellite-service-rival
#Amazon said it had established communications with all of the satellites, and the sequence of turning them on was โproceeding as planned.โ The #FCCโs approval of the constellation came with a requirement that at least half ๐ the #satellites needed to be deployed by ๐ July 30, 2026. Industry analysts say the company could get an extension if it has demonstrated substantial progress by then https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/28/science/amazon-kuiper-launch-ula.html
Let's assume #Europe ๐ช๐บ is successful and reaches a cadence of 10 launches per year ๐ with the #Ariane6 rocket. One-tenth of the annual subsidy is $35 million. One-hundredth of the development cost is $40 million.
Therefore, European #taxpayers are subsidizing every launch of #satellites for Jeff #Bezos by roughly $75 million ๐ฐ https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/10/oops-it-looks-like-the-ariane-6-rocket-may-not-offer-europe-any-launch-savings/#page-2
๐ช๐บ #Ariane6 (GTO 4,500 kg, โฌ100 million๐ฐ๐ฐ) : 1๏ธโฃ successful launch https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ariane_6#List_of_launches
๐ฏ๐ต #H3 (GTO 4,000 kg, $50 million ๐ฐ) : 4๏ธโฃ successful launches https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H3_(rocket)#Past_launches
The first controlled ocean ๐ #landing of a #Falcon9 booster was completed in ๐ April 2014. This was followed a little over a year later by the first successful recovery of a Falcon 9 booster on a ground pad in ๐ December 2015.
So, #reusable โป๏ธ launch technologies were most certainly available during the design and early development phases of #Ariane6 ๐ช๐บ https://europeanspaceflight.com/europe-will-introduce-a-reusable-launch-vehicle-in-the-2030s-says-arianespace-ceo
#Arianespace #ESA #decision #reusability #LaunchCost #comparison
โข #ESA and its member states forked over $4.4B ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ to develop #Ariane6. Customer launches are unlikely to pay back development costs any time soon.
โข #SpaceX has invested over $5B ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ in #Starship, and the company is focusing on achieving full reusability โป๏ธ
https://payloadspace.com/rocket-development-costs-by-vehicle-payload-research/
@euspa* says they have no idea about the #Ariane6 costs ๐ค๐ https://fragdenstaat.de/dokumente/275068-replytoaccdocrequest-2026-1_geschwaerzt/
Such as
โข Standard launch costs for Ariane 6 (per variant)
โข The launch price for #Amazon
โข The amount of #subsidies ๐ฐ per launch, including and excluding development costs
* "charged with advancing the #commercialisation and market uptake of #EU ๐ช๐บ Space data and services" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Agency_for_the_Space_Programme#Overview