RE: https://mastodon.social/@arstechnica/116224659684048903

The way #NASA is assessing and communicating risk for #Artemis II sharply contrasts with how the agency formulated and discussed risk assessments for several recent notable missions.

Honeycutt and Glaze are not the first NASA officials to question the validity of probabilistic risk assessments, which rely on numerical and statistical inputs, many of which are grounded in assumptions 🔮.

#HumanSpaceflightSecurity

@spaceflight I really hope this doesnt go sideways. The pressure on the program is immense at this point. Sunk cost fallacy is real. If it fails, NASA's budget is going to get reduced from "almost zero" to an actual zero and the international ridicule will be along the lines of: "Look at the Americans! They can't even fly to the moon anymore!"
@shredder7579 I hope the four astronauts aren't risking their lives just to test the toilet https://spacey.space/@spaceflight/115984263183540501