Spaceflight 🚀

RE: https://mastodon.social/@arstechnica/116224659684048903

The way #NASA is assessing and communicating risk for #Artemis II sharply contrasts with how the agency formulated and discussed risk assessments for several recent notable missions.

Honeycutt and Glaze are not the first NASA officials to question the validity of probabilistic risk assessments, which rely on numerical and statistical inputs, many of which are grounded in assumptions 🔮.

#HumanSpaceflightSecurity

Mar 14 at 5:08pmWeb
Show threadMichael GemarMar 14
@spaceflight I don’t think I would fly on this mission.
Show threadSpaceflight 🚀Mar 14
@michaelgemar and how about Artemis III ?
Show threadMichael GemarMar 14
@spaceflight I’d need to see several successful crewed flights on the SLS/Orion before I’d consider it safe enough.
Show threadBonita MascotaMar 14
@spaceflight I don't know how risky it is, what I do know is that it is utterly useless. Forget about it! Enough work to do down here on planet earth.
Show threadSpaceflight 🚀Mar 14
@Labonitamascota NASA's budget for fiscal year 2026 represents about 0.35% of the total $7.0 trillion U.S. federal budget https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budget_of_NASA
Budget of NASA - Wikipedia

Show threadBonita MascotaMar 14
@spaceflight Meaning?
Show threadSpaceflight 🚀Mar 14
@Labonitamascota 🥜
Show threadSpaceflight 🚀Mar 14
@Labonitamascota compared to, for example https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_States
Military budget of the United States - Wikipedia

Show threadBonita MascotaMar 14
@spaceflight I suggest reducing the military budget.
Show threadGradientDescentMar 14
@spaceflight I really hope this doesnt go sideways. The pressure on the program is immense at this point. Sunk cost fallacy is real. If it fails, NASA's budget is going to get reduced from "almost zero" to an actual zero and the international ridicule will be along the lines of: "Look at the Americans! They can't even fly to the moon anymore!"
Show threadSpaceflight 🚀Mar 14
@shredder7579 I hope the four astronauts aren't risking their lives just to test the toilet https://spacey.space/@spaceflight/115984263183540501