The Atlantic: Why Trump Didn’t Plan for the Strait of Hormuz

In wartime, the enemy always gets a vote.

(These people are deeply unserious. I mean, they *must* be old enough to remember the 1980-88 tanker war and the vital role the Straits of Hormuz played back then, right?)

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/hormuz-strait-iran-oil/686365/

Why Trump Didn’t Plan for the Strait of Hormuz

In wartime, the enemy always gets a vote.

The Atlantic
@cstross
Part of the Christofacist Revelations cosplay is "The eagle will fall"; it's a death cult, after the wars, plagues, & famine, the ultimate collapse of the USA is part of the plan.
@HighlandLawyer @cstross
I get the feeling that apocalyptic Christian extremism is basically Christianity-as-a-cargo-cult. They have a story of Rapture and Reward that they do not (are not allowed to) understand the deeper meaning of, being literalists. That story tells them that their savior and his kingdom will return after some series of events. Ergo, if they make these events occur, Jesus will come back and give them their due. It can't be a prediction, it has to be an instruction manual.
@stingraz @cstross
That is exactly what they are doing, which of course in terms of mainstream Christianity is a heresy.

@HighlandLawyer

I was about to say the same thing. There are actually warnings in the New Testament against thinking that one can even know, let alone force, the time and place. Paul to the Thessalonians, and the Gospel of Matthew, for examples.

@stingraz @cstross @Kathmandu
#Christianity #SecondComing #USPolitics #Millenarianism

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

I usually describe them as mad cultists trying to complete a spell to summon their god who will then eat the unbelievers first.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross you say chrstianity-as-a-cargo-cult as if it wasn't always a cargo cult
@alexmorse @HighlandLawyer @cstross not allowing themselves to even discuss the meaning of their foundational texts seems like an evolution though. It's not like the whole thing is even pretending to be immutable word-from-God level stuff, collated and fragmentary as it obviously is. And then getting the description vs. prescription thing wrong feels like a very basic mistake. Very un-master race galaxy brain. About as bad as getting Marxism wrong, bolchevik-style, really.
[Edit for typo]
@alexmorse @HighlandLawyer @cstross (Yes, of course I'm trying to find the most insulting comparison that still works. I hope that was clear when I put them in the same bin as the most gullible of pacific islanders from a century ago.)
@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross I appreciate trying to be maximally insulting in this case

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

they cannot be kicked in the ass hard enough for this bullshit, imo.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross Civil Rights and the loss of public moral supremacy broke their existing coping mechanisms and sent them overtly nihilistic; anything so depraved as to insist they not be white supremacist in public had to be destroyed.

And of course this narrative splashed everywhere; that the sinful world deserves destruction is a core part of Christian thought. (Not historical doctrine, but thought.) The novelty lies mostly in the ubiquity of craving an apocalypse.

@graydon
It may be part of US 'christian' thought, but it wasn't where I grew up and still isn't. I think the whole rapture concept is uniquely American.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

@nzlemming It's not uniquely American; if nothing else, it was exported to America and has, like many other cultural products, been exported from there since.

One of the things that trips people up is that something more than 70% of American Christians expect that the world will end soon/these are the end times. "Mainstream", particularly in the sense of being somewhere near a political center, hasn't applied in generations.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

@graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross Boomers crave an apocalypse because the oldest ones turn 80 this year. They're railing against the dying of the light. They refuse to go quietly, and wish to actively PREVENT the world continuing on without them.

This is a problem the actuarial tables will address: 1955 is the boomer/jones cutoff, actuarial tables say pre-pandemic US average lifespan was 79, 1955+79=2034, hence boomer extinction burst.

What will be left to salvage, I couldn't say...

@cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer Younger half of the boomers have collectively noped out of the group.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_Jones

They insist they got screwed over by the older boomers too, and the sane-ish third do seem to be in the younger half.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_Jones

I used to say 1955 was the midpoint of boom (half of all boomers born before then). Character limit made jones easier. (2034 is ld50 of 50% but how much is needed to lose political power? Nursing homes, institutions)

Generation Jones - Wikipedia

@landley @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer That'd be me, then. (I'm 61, wear all-black and trainers, listen to techno and industrial music, and vote SNP/Green (both to the left of Labour).)

@cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer I'm firmly genx and even match a lot of the stereotypes, but it's been specifically the leading edge boomers causing the most damage.

Hank Green pointed out that bill and hillary clinton, george w bush, trump, mitt romney, and al gore were all born within three years of each other.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=IwgzuSqb7ys

So far the _only_ president we've had younger than that was Obama (born 1961), and the Boomers responded with https://theonion.com/after-obama-victory-shrieking-white-hot-sphere-of-pure-1819595330/

Why Was Every President Born in the Same Year?

YouTube
@landley @cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer It’s like the Saudis, who have had 6 kings in the last 75 years all from the same generation of brothers.

@eliterrell @landley @cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer

It reminds me of the 1970s when the Soviet Union kept selecting premiers of a certain generation who kept dying in office.

I took it as a sign of a system fighting change as hard as it could, until mortality beat it and they got Gorbachev - and the collapse of the Soviet Union.

USA is feeling very collapse-y right now too.

@Phosphenes @eliterrell @landley @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer Prediction: if Vance succeeds Trump, then that's their Bizzaro-world Gorbachev moment. He'll change things—he can't not—and it will break.
@Phosphenes @eliterrell @[email protected] @cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer I thought Gorbachev was part of Andropov's plan to fix the economy

@jonpsp @eliterrell @cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer

I saw Gorbachev as given an unwinnable situation. The plane was on fire and his best job would be to control the crash.

@jonpsp @Phosphenes @eliterrell @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer He was. And Gorbachev tried! But he was basically too honest, told the apparat that things had to change, and they didn't like the message. So in the end things changed a whole lot more than he intended …
@landley @cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer When we finally broke the decades-long streak of boomer presidents, we didn't do it by electing our first gen-x president, but with Biden, who's too old to be a boomer
@cstross @landley @graydon @stingraz
The handy UK rule of thumb to distinguish between boomers and gen x is "Janet & John, or Peter & Jane?"

@cstross @graydon @stingraz @HighlandLawyer The name comes from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keeping_up_with_the_Joneses and they make a good point that ten years did make a big change in the formative/developmental impact of sputnik, moon landing, watergate, stagflation, cheap mortgages switching to high interest rates on savings, career progression vs stagnation at lower levels...

The TV show "thirtysomething" didn't resonate with people just turning 20. "Greed is good" wasn't the same rallying cry for a fry cook vs manager.

Keeping up with the Joneses - Wikipedia

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross
The weird thing is, the number of people who will go to heaven does not include all christians, and the rapture supposedly include the jews being punished for their crimes.

So which group of christians do they think will go to heaven? Those who conspired with jews to commit those crimes, or those who didn't?

@leeloo AIUI the Jehovah's Witnesses used to believe only 660,000 folks would go to heaven, and as there were 3 million of them this led to no little paranoia and side-eye action. As there are >16 million Jews, I'd say heaven's full, no Christians need apply to the Rapture.

@cstross @leeloo

Do they not believe that anymore then? One of my usual replies to witness missionaries is I don't particularly fancy being relegated to second class heaven.

As an Empire Games related side note, I call them J. Edgar Hoover's Witnesses and did so before you wrote the book.

@cstross @leeloo @PilotMoonDog

Not quite. It was 144,000.

And Revelation 7 and 14, the chapters on which this is based, if taken literally (always a risky thing to do with the Book of Revelation) says that these 144,000 are Jews, 12,000 from each of the 12 tribes, virgins, male, and unblemished.

Females, male non-virgins, anyone who isn't Jewish, anyone over tribal quota, and anyone with wrinkles/spots, won't be amongst the number.

#Christianity #SecondComing #USPolitics #Millenarianism

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross They think they can cast a spell on Jesus by geopolitical manipulations. 🙄
@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross akin to my friend's four year old randomly singing happy birthday because he wants cake.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

I've always been struck by how people saying "We need to [do $foo] to make the End Times come / Jesus return" are basically saying that they think they can make the Lord God Almighty hurry up. They think they can give the Creator of the Universe a deadline.

@Kathmandu
That's what @HighlandLawyer meant by heresy, I guess.
Certainly sounds like a good way to get smitten, trying to lord it over Thy Lord Almighty because you're impatient to get your treats.

@Kathmandu @stingraz @HighlandLawyer "Good news, my fellow believers! God phoned me this morning to say he got the message and is moving the clock forward!"

"Yay!"

"He says he finally tipped Betelgeuse over into a core collapse 36 hours ago, and the resulting magnetar beam is pointing directly at where Earth will be!"

"Yay!"

"… In 472 years, 3 months, and 6 days the Earth's entire surface will be turned into a lake of molten lava!"

"Yay?"

"He says, sinners get what they pray for."

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

I saw a short film on Instagram that told that there were two versions of the #CargoCult still active in #Vanuatu. One, perhaps the originals, wait for the second coming of some unknown American WW2 general, whom they know as John Frum who will return and bring them gifts of”cargo” for their devotion (and model airfield complete with planes ?)

The second group worships the late Duke of Edinburgh, who will perform the same function for them.

#JohnFrum #WW2

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

Being literalists, I like to hear them squirm when asked if the rapture is biblically correct and which verses they get it from.

@SpiritualAnnie @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross Heh. What do they say? I am closer to Dawkins than literalists, but if I was roleplaying literalists I would probably say Revelations, so much tripping stuff there.

@CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

Actually, it's Pauline in 1 Thessalonians 4: "For the Lord Himself will descend from heaven with a loud command, with the voice of an archangel, and with the trumpet of God, and the dead in Christ will be the first to rise. 17After that, we who are alive and remain will be caught up together with them in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air. And so we will always be with the Lord."

Personally, I've never cared for Paul.

@SpiritualAnnie @CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross
I think if Paul were alive today, he'd be a televangelist with a couple of private jets
@bdmoe @SpiritualAnnie @CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer Cueing up "He's got seven million dollars in his heavenly bank account" by Frank Zappa again ...
@SpiritualAnnie @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross Eons ago, when I was managing a Cinema in a small town, after first 2 years of college before going back for BA, had a well to do Jewish couple stop in asking me for directions for people that had Arabian horses. They were looking to buy some and move to Israel because they thought end times were nigh. This was in the midwest, away from Metros. No such horses in region. Also didn't understand idea of taking such horse to Israel.

@CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

There are so many stories and myths that go with the rapture, I can't keep up. I don't even pay attention to predictive dates anymore because all of them are "imminent" but don't happen. But I don't remember anything about taking Arabian horses to the holy land. Maybe they want it to be one of the horses of the apocalypse?

@SpiritualAnnie @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross No that was a Jewish couple, not Christians, just parallel end of times crazy IMO. I thought they were out of it for several reasons. They idea of buying horses in Midwest and transporting to Israel to start, and they were very clearly people that had no idea about taking care of horses, etc
@SpiritualAnnie @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross I think they were just convinced the end was coming, and thought having horses would help somehow?

@CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

LOL I forgot the Jewish part. Yeah, not sure why they'd want to go to the holy land when it's in the war to end the world.

Horses don't need gasoline, so that's a plus.

@SpiritualAnnie @CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer Judaism doesn't believe in the New Testament apocalypse bullshit. Or Jesus, for that matter. I really doubt that couple were Jewish: if they were, they were several species of crazycakes rolled into one.
@cstross @SpiritualAnnie @CliffsEsport @stingraz
Possibly one of the weird (nominally) Christian sects which self-describe as "the true jews/israelites" (see also British Israelism). So as you say, several species of crazycake.
@cstross @SpiritualAnnie @stingraz @HighlandLawyer Correct, but much of the Christian stuff was very loosely based & mutated on aspects of some sects of Judaism. I'm not up to date on current era Judaism doctrine & mythology, but there were apocalyptic and Messianistic sects historically.
@SpiritualAnnie @CliffsEsport @stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross For Boomers the end _is_ coming. They just want to take it with them.
@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross As as the Pope recently said, the idea that God jumps if you lay out the hoops just right is Dogma-brained and stupidly insulting.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross

It was basically describing Rome at the time. Which is closer to what's happening now in the U.S.

Bringing it about is stupid.

@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross I enjoyed the 90s docudrama about that: https://millennium-thisiswhoweare.net/guide/analysis/the-millennium-group/ (I think I learned most of what I know about how groups will bring forward the end times from watching The Omen film series and Millennium TV series)
The Millennium Group - Millennium Episode and Credits Guide

Millennium - This Is Who We Are
@stingraz @HighlandLawyer @cstross "As long as we bomb enough schoolgirls the Lord of Peace will return and reward us."
@glenatron @stingraz @cstross
"Lord, Lord, have we not prophesied in thy name? and in thy name have cast out devils? and in thy name done many wonderful works?"