So, everyone worrying about the Venus probe reentry: yes, it's not designed to burn up in the atmosphere, and that's bad.

But, remember Starlink? There's something like one Starlink per day reentering now, and they weigh more than the Venus probe! SpaceX says they will burn up completely, but now one Starlink piece has been discovered in my province. (And if they don't make it to the ground, that means that half-ton of metal and plastic is deposited in the stratosphere instead. Yum).

More than 7,000 Starlinks in orbit now, and they have permission for 42,000. Even conservatively, at peak operation, they'll dump 25x more aluminum into the stratosphere than falls naturally as they launch and burn up 20-25 sats PER DAY. What will that do? We actually don't know. That metal is already measurable. SpaceX is just running this experiment.

We need fewer satellites in orbit with longer operational lifetimes. THAT is the new engineering challenge in LEO.

LEO sat disposal is a new environmental disaster brewing, mostly because of the actions of a single private company, but really, it's everyone's operating procedure in LEO. Just burn those sats up in Earth's atmosphere when they're done! They just disappear! And if they don't, they probably won't hit anyone anyway.

Ok, this is turning rambly and I'm tired and need to put my goats in the barn. I hope the Venus probe reenters with no injuries, and just to be abundantly clear: fuck Starlink.

P.S. Don't explain reentries or orbits to me.

https://bsky.app/profile/planet4589.bsky.social/post/3lostcdm6qk2v

The probe is down, probably in the ocean.

Also there is no way I'm going to be able to answer all the questions that people have posted in this thread while I was asleep haha...yikes. Glad to see people are interested! I"ll try to answer a few at least. (I'll also be ignoring and likely blocking annoying mansplaining/sealioning)

Jonathan McDowell (@planet4589.bsky.social)

ESA reports K482SA reentered between 0604 UITC (seen by radar on pass over Europe) and 0732 UTC (not seen by European radars on the next orbit). Roskosmos reports that reentry was at 0624 UTC over the Indian Ocean, but with no details on how they conclude that.

Bluesky Social

@benroyce @sundogplanets I think that was my absolute favourite tweet of all time. πŸ’₯

* pours one out *

@benroyce @sundogplanets "This is your place sir. Get in it."
Theoretical Astrophysicist Claps Back At Guy Who Told Her To "Learn Some Science"

I’m sure you recognize this feeling: Someone is a total jerk, and then, too long after the fact to actually matter, you come up with the perfect comeback. If only! If this is you, you’ll find this story deeply satisfying: A guy told an…

Bustle
@CStamp @benroyce @sundogplanets 1. The fact that JK Rowling is supporting a trans physicist is amazing.
Katie Mack | 500 Queer Scientists

I'm a theoretical astrophysicist working in cosmologyβ€”the study of the Universe on the largest scales, and at the most fundamental level, from beginning to end. My areas of expertise are dark matter…

500 Queer Scientists

@CStamp @Amoshias @benroyce @sundogplanets @DelilahTech

Haven’t seen her since Twitter good days.

Before here Career blew up to the Big Time after her book went Best Seller.

Login β€’ Instagram

Welcome back to Instagram. Sign in to check out what your friends, family & interests have been capturing & sharing around the world.

@CStamp @Amoshias @benroyce @sundogplanets @DelilahTech

I Don’t use any Meta Products due that Race Traitor Nazi Mark Zuckerberg.

Any one using Meta products is collaborating with Nazis.

Sheesh, I was already annoyed with Katie when she let her success go to her head and succumbed to celebrity syndrome.

Makes me want to drop THE END OF EVERYTHING from the Pedestrian Bridge over the Freeway a block away and watch it experience it’s own cataclysmic under the wheels of a 18 Wheeler.

We used to daily before I was an Egg.
Then she was too good to talk to little people any more.

Just when i was about to forgiver

@MishaVanMollusq @CStamp @benroyce @sundogplanets @DelilahTech you may want to look up what the phrase "race traitor" is used to mean. I suspect (and hope) you misunderstand it.
@Amoshias @MishaVanMollusq @benroyce @sundogplanets @DelilahTech What does that have to do with Katie?
@CStamp @MishaVanMollusq @benroyce @sundogplanets @DelilahTech if I understand it right, the person I'm responding to is ranting against her for using instagram, which is owned by Mark zuckerberg.
@Amoshias @CStamp @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech she's saying that Zuckerberg is Jewish yet supports fascism
@benroyce @Amoshias @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech As does everyone aligned with Israel (support fascism). But that has nothing to do with Katie being full of herself because she wrote a well-received book.
@CStamp @Amoshias @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech no argument. I'm just explaining medea's use of the term race traitor in reference to zuckerberg
@CStamp @benroyce @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech and if I was a Jew who stands against fascism (actually, I am) "race traitor" is very definitely not a phrase I'd use in that context.

@Amoshias @CStamp @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech

I'm not Jewish, and I'm not putting forth any argument here. I'm merely explaining Medea's argument to you, which is a sound argument or an unsound argument on terms I make no representation nor advocacy of for or against. I have no right to speak on the terms, and if I did I would be patronizing and speaking outside my purview. I merely understood what Medea was saying and was explaining what she was saying to you

@benroyce @CStamp @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech I didn't think you were defending the use of the term in any way.

@benroyce cool cool cool. Her and Trump agree on that Jewish race mishegoss, I guess. πŸ΄πŸ‘ž

@Amoshias @CStamp@mastodon.social @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech

@dukepaaron @Amoshias @MishaVanMollusq @sundogplanets @DelilahTech

i have no right as a non-jew to say anything for or against arguments amongst jews (medea says they are "judaism adjacent" so i could be wrong about that)

granted, i opened my fat mouth as a point of clarification in a discussion i am not really a part of, just because i am in the thread. so i certainly goofed there

@sundogplanets
Thanks for the update! I'm sure the media will get right on reporting this. πŸ™„
I hope no ocean residents were harmed.
@sundogplanets FWIW I hope I am not in the parenthetical. It's certainly not my intention, at least!
@sundogplanets I'm glad it didn't land on someone's house!!
@sundogplanets it not only surprised me to read that there was such a range in when the rogue space probe would actually reenter the atmosphere, but also that with all of the tracking we have available, it seems like it was just, woops!, missed it πŸ€”.

@sundogplanets "The Kosmos 482 probe, a relic from the first Space Race, crashed harmlessly into the Indian Ocean west of Jakarta, Indonesia at 2:24 a.m. EDT (6:24 a.m. GMT), the Russian space agency Roscosmos announced on Telegram. No damage or injuries have been reported, and it remains unclear whether the lander reached the ocean in one piece."

https://www.livescience.com/space/space-exploration/soviet-spacecraft-kosmos-482-crashes-back-to-earth-disappearing-into-indian-ocean-after-53-years-in-orbit

Soviet spacecraft Kosmos 482 crashes back to Earth, disappearing into Indian Ocean after 53 years in orbit

The failed Soviet spacecraft Kosmos 482 has finally returned to Earth after 53 years in orbit. It disappeared into the Indian Ocean early Saturday morning.

Live Science
@sundogplanets orbits is what your dog does when it's trying to get the goats to reenter the barn, right?

πŸ—£ LOUDER FOR THE PEOPLE IN THE BACK!!!

@sundogplanets

@benroyce @blogdiva @sundogplanets
It occurs to me that a number of people - young men especially - were told they can say anything if they sound confident enough.

@sundogplanets
God I spent hours ranting about this to anyone who would listen back when starlink started talking about putting these up, because holy shit unearned faith in 'they will burn up safely '

I still can't believe that this is where things went...

@sundogplanets great picture. I feel so calm just looking at it.
@sundogplanets I came for the Starlink toots but have been distracted by the goats and dog. Is the dog a PyrΓ©nΓ©en?
@ElHadjiMurad One of our livestock guardian dogs is a Pyrenees mix, one is an Anatolian shepherd mix
@sundogplanets Lovely! LGDs are such amazing animals. We have a Traditional Spanish Mastif, though, so I'm a bit biased...
@sundogplanets Thanks, he's very good at posing for photos, as evidenced here..!

@sundogplanets
It's difficult to distinguish between someone innocently agreeing - and expanding or underlining - and someone arrogantly mansplaining online, eh?

I try to roll with words to the effect of, "I realise *you* know this already, but for others reading..." (or words to that effect).

It must be especially annoying when you spent several years studying a subject and Joe Shmo is up in your comments telling you something you learned in 101. πŸ™„

@ApostateEnglishman @sundogplanets

Sometimes I run into "I didn't understand this aspect of the post, so I did some reading up on it, and here's what I learned, just in case someone else is also confused."

Like, I'm not mansplaining. It's something that I feel like the author (who is clearly conversant with it better than myself) simply didn't explain well enough, and that OTHER people may have been as confused as I was.

Sometimes, experts are just over-familiar.

https://xkcd.com/2501/

Average Familiarity

xkcd
@sundogplanets I need to turn your posts into a story!! I kind of want to write something about this whole thing.