War is coming again to #SouthSudan, and the war in #Sudan already has a direct bearing on it.

It may have been one of the triggers, but one can also expect Kiir to align more closely with the #RSF, and Machar's #SPLM-IO to seek closer ties with Burhan's #SAF.

The situation of Sudanese in #SouthSudan and South Sudanese in #Sudan is all the more precarious, in a context of pogroms on both sides of the border.

This will further prolong the war in Sudan and worsen the brewing conflict in South Sudan.

The involvement of all neighbours should be monitored closely, and not solely #Uganda 's. #Egypt 's discomfort when facing #RSF 's rapid advance has led to the current successes by the #SAF 's in Khartoum and in between the Blue and White Nile.