If you like estimates of which #technology R&D approaches are likely to succeed, or interested in where #AI is headed, you might enjoy this Metaculus question. Open for comment now & prediction in 2 days. Resolves in Dec.

"Will conventional pre-#LLM #GOFAI (graph search, tree search, game play or symbolic logic) be a part of the top-ranked AI in the 2024 Abstraction & #Reasoning Corpus (#ARC) competition?"

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28655/will-gofai-be-a-part-of-the-arc-prize-winner/#comment-194423

#Metaculus is a nonmonetary (#karma-based) #PredictionMarket.