Mastodawn

Markus Falk Apr 21, 2024

#covid Prior to the pandemic, we could interpret past events using case data, but we couldn't make predictions. Post-pandemic, we find ourselves in nearly the same situation. Many modeling approaches lack predictive efficacy, and crucial questions persist regarding the effectiveness of interventions such as mask mandates or employing lateral flow tests for isolating positive cases. It would be of fundamental importance to know by how much Rt could be reduced when implementing those measures.

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Sam Apr 21, 2024

@falk
#COVID

WE ARE NOT POST PANDEMIC.
WE ARE NOT POST PANDEMIC.
WE ARE NOT POST PANDEMIC.

We are smack in the midst of a pandemic with recurring waves, case rates and harms trending upward over the long term, and in a rising state of ignorance as people who should know better keep willfully asserting that we are POST pandemic.

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Markus Falk Apr 21, 2024

@samohTmaS

Post-pandemic is a term that can mean different things to different people. Initially, it implied a time when the entire population was vulnerable, lacking immunity against the virus. However, our current situation has evolved; while not everyone is immune, widespread vaccination has significantly reduced the overall risk. Nevertheless, the threat remains, with the potential for severe consequences for individuals, and their numbers are not insignificant.

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Sam

@falk #COVID
/7

In the long term immune system damage leading to #COVAIDS and loss of immune competence, and aging impacts likely dominate. We aren't there yet.

But with infections averaging once or twice a year for those in the job market or school, we are already 6-8 bouts of infection in for a whole lot of people.

We have already incurred the injury. There is now no chance of preventing severe societal harm. We can reduce it a little. We cannot stop that which is to come.