Rachel StrohmNov 18, 2022
Excited to be at the African Studies Association #ASA2022! Kicked things off this morning with a #research presentation from Dr Tom Wolf on #Kenya's recent #election, showing the intriguing finding that Raila led Ruto in the polls from May - July 2022, but UDA was more popular than ODM over the same time period
Show threadRachel Strohm
Wolf thinks some Ruto voters didn't want to disclose their preferences. Not the only reason polls weren't correct - bigger issue was that Ruto voters turned out at higher rates than Raila voters - but interesting to note that Q about party support may not have had same bias. Here's the published report https://www.tifaresearch.com/release-of-public-opinion-data-on-the-2022-elections/ #ASA2022 #research #Kenya
Nov 18, 2022 at 8:31amWeb