"If people are sufficiently worried, there is much less to be worried about. But if no one is worried, then when you should worry!"

Exponential growth & epidemic..

The maths behind it. #coronavirusindia

Please watch and share!

https://youtu.be/Kas0tIxDvrg

Exponential growth and epidemics

YouTube

If you see one country with 6000 cases and another country with 60, it is easy to think that the second country is doing 100 times better and fine.

But if the numbers are multiplied by 10 in every 16 days, another way is that the 2nd country is just one month behind the 1st!

@jamewils Problem with this model as applied to the current situation is that it does not compensate for the numbers dropping due to lack of measurements.

In many places there simply is not the capacity to test as much as there should be.