Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00624-z <-- shared 2025 paper
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https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/floods-droughts-fires-hydroclimate-whiplash-speeding-up-globally <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
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H/T @Daniel Swain
“Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
#water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning
'Omdat we eeuwenlang vertrouwden op technologische oplossingen voor ons #watermanagement, zijn we vergeten hoe kwetsbaar we zijn', zegt Deltacommissaris Co Verdaas tegen CNN. “We stuiten letterlijk op de grenzen van wat we kunnen doen met dat technisch beheer."
https://edition.cnn.com/climate/netherlands-vs-the-sea-hold-back-rising-waters-c2e-spc
The Netherlands vs the sea: The race to hold back rising waters

The Netherlands has spent decades building a sophisticated water-defense system. But as sea levels rise, experts say it could struggle to keep pace.

CNN
[G]lobal Decline In Endorheic Basin Water Storages
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0265-7 <-- shared paper
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorheic_basin <-- shared Wikipedia page
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“Endorheic (hydrologically landlocked) basins spatially concur with arid/semi-arid climates. Given limited precipitation but high potential evaporation, their water storage is vulnerable to subtle flux perturbations, which are exacerbated by global warming and human activities. Increasing regional evidence suggests a probably recent net decline in endorheic water storage, but this remains unquantified at a global scale. By integrating satellite observations and hydrological modelling, [they] reveal[ed] that during 2002–2016 the global endorheic system experienced a widespread water loss of about 106.3 Gt/yr, attributed to comparable losses in surface water, soil moisture and groundwater. This decadal decline, disparate from water storage fluctuations in exorheic basins, appears less sensitive to El Niño–Southern Oscillation-driven climate variability, which implies a possible response to longer-term climate conditions and human water management. In the mass-conserved hydrosphere, such an endorheic water loss not only exacerbates local water stress, but also imposes excess water on exorheic basins, leading to a potential sea level rise that matches the contribution of nearly half of the land glacier retreat (excluding Greenland and Antarctica). Given these dual ramifications, [they] suggest the necessity for long-term monitoring of water storage variation in the global endorheic system and the inclusion of its net contribution to future sea level budgeting…”
#water #hydrology #hydrography #global #waterresources #waterstorage #Endorheic #Basin #watersecurity #arid #semiarid #rainfall #precipitation #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #globalwarming #climatechange #humanimpacts #anthropogenic #regional #remotesensing #GIS #spatial #mapping #earthobservation #surfacewater #groundwater #soilmoisture #exorheic #watermanagement #hydrosphere #waterstress #SLR #sealevelrise #monitoring #waterbudgets
For the first time in decades, a once-blocked river runs free as Europe removes a record 602 barriers

A record number of river barriers were removed last year to help waterways, wildlife, and nearby communities recover.

The Cool Down

The Guardian: Majority of US’s new AI datacenters to be built on drought-hit land. “A record-shattering drought has racked much of the US. But the artificial intelligence industry is pushing ahead regardless, with the majority of planned datacenters set to be built in drought-ridden locations, a Guardian analysis has found.”

https://rbfirehose.com/2026/06/09/the-guardian-majority-of-uss-new-ai-datacenters-to-be-built-on-drought-hit-land/
The Guardian: Majority of US’s new AI datacenters to be built on drought-hit land

The Guardian: Majority of US’s new AI datacenters to be built on drought-hit land. “A record-shattering drought has racked much of the US. But the artificial intelligence industry is pushing …

ResearchBuzz: Firehose
Central Asia’s water politics are shifting from old quota systems toward joint infrastructure as climate stress and the Qosh Tepa Canal raise the stakes https://ow.ly/8qGh50Z8a43 #WaterSecurity #ClimateRisk #Hydropower #QoshTepa #RegionalCooperation #CentralAsia #WaterManagement

Megaprojects Instead of Quotas...
Megaprojects Instead of Quotas: How Central Asia’s Water Diplomacy Is Changing - The Times Of Central Asia

Central Asia’s water politics are moving beyond Soviet-era quotas. As glaciers in the Tien Shan retreat and climate pressure increases, river management has

The Times Of Central Asia
Central Asia’s water politics are shifting from old quota systems toward joint infrastructure as climate stress and the Qosh Tepa Canal raise the stakes https://timesca.com/megaprojects-instead-of-quotas-how-central-asias-water-diplomacy-is-changing/ #WaterSecurity #ClimateRisk #Hydropower #QoshTepa #RegionalCooperation #CentralAsia #WaterManagement