Monday, May 4, 2026
How drone warfare is changing war reporting; The Cost of Truth -- Russian attacks kill 10, injure over 70 in Ukraine over past day -- The oil spill in Tuapse and the lessons Russia didn't learn -- Ukraine strikes Russian Kalibr missile carrier, patrol boat in Leningrad Oblast ... and morehttps://activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026/05/monday-may-4-2026/
Trips to Russia, master classes from Kremlin-aligned media figures, and lessons in Soviet military glory. Through its “Young Correspondents” program, Russia is training teenagers in occupied Ukraine to promote the invasion and wage information war on Moscow’s behalf.
“🚨🇨🇳 Strait of Malacca: World's Next Flashpoint After Hormuz?”
by New Rules on Telegram
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@Palestine
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@iran
“The Strait of Hormuz has dominated global headlines since late February 2026 — but a strategically more consequential move is taking shape in Southeast Asia — one that fits a recognizable pattern of US strategic encirclement of China.
On April 13, 2026, Washington signed a Major Defense Cooperation Partnership (MDCP) with Indonesia, covering military modernisation, joint training, and maritime defense technologies. The US is also seeking expanded access to Indonesian airspace — a request Jakarta says is still under ‘careful review.’ But the framework is already in place”
Read more here: https://t.me/newrulesgeo/1922
#Press #SocialMedia #Iran #War #Trump #Israel #OperationEpsteinFury #OperationEpicMistake #RegimeChange #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity #Hormuz #Empire #Collapse #US #Malacca #Indonesia #SouthEastAsia #China
🚨🇨🇳 Strait of Malacca: World's Next Flashpoint After Hormuz? The Strait of Hormuz has dominated global headlines since late February 2026 — but a strategically more consequential move is taking shape in Southeast Asia — one that fits a recognizable pattern of US strategic encirclement of China. On April 13, 2026, Washington signed a Major Defense Cooperation Partnership (MDCP) with Indonesia, covering military modernisation, joint training, and maritime defense technologies. The US is also seeking expanded access to Indonesian airspace — a request Jakarta says is still under "careful review." But the framework is already in place. 🔸Why Malacca Matters 🟠 75–80% of China's imported oil transits the strait daily 🟠 24% of all global seaborne trade flows through it 🟠 At its narrowest — the Phillips Channel — it is just 2.8 km wide 🟠 No adequate alternative exists: detours add 1,000–1,500 nautical miles or 10–15 extra days at sea China's alternatives — the Myanmar pipeline (440,000 bpd vs. 11 million daily import needs), Central Asian pipelines (~10% of imports), the CPEC via Gwadar, and seasonal Arctic routes — fall drastically short. The US doesn't need to fire a shot. Naval presence near the Phillips Channel and military access to Indonesian facilities creates economic coercion without direct conflict — the same logic applied at Hormuz. Any disruption paralyses the entire Global South — India, Southeast Asia, and East Africa all depend on Malacca for food, fuel, and industrial imports. Singapore's 40 million containers and Malaysia's Port Klang would be effectively frozen. Indonesia holds co-sovereignty over the strait alongside Malaysia and Singapore. But history shows that once US military infrastructure embeds itself in a region, the terms of sovereignty tend to shift. Indonesia has so far maintained its traditional non-alignment posture, preserving strong economic ties with both China and Russia even as it formalises the MDCP with Washington. Its co-sovereignty over the strait — shared with Malaysia and Singapore — means it retains sovereign authority over how the waterway is used. @NewRulesGeo❗Follow us on X
“🚨🛢⛽️ Everyone’s Watching Crude — But the Real Crisis Is Refining”
by New Rules on Telegram
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@Palestine
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@iran
“Since the escalation of the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, crude supply disruptions have captured global attention. However, the increasing deficit in refined products — jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline — poses a potentially deeper and more enduring challenge”
Read more here; https://t.me/newrulesgeo/1925
#Press #SocialMedia #Iran #War #Trump #Israel #OperationEpsteinFury #OperationEpicMistake #RegimeChange #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity #Hormuz #Empire #Collapse #US #Refining #JetFuel #Diesel #Gasoline
🚨🛢⛽️ Everyone’s Watching Crude — But the Real Crisis Is Refining Since the escalation of the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, crude supply disruptions have captured global attention. However, the increasing deficit in refined products — jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline — poses a potentially deeper and more enduring challenge. 🔸 Energy Aspects estimates that over 450 million barrels of product output have been lost since the conflict began. 🔸 Refinery run cuts globally are in the range of 5-6 million barrels per day. 🔸 Unlike crude, where OPEC retains some spare capacity, there is no equivalent buffer in the refining system. Global refineries were already operating at or near maximum utilization before the crisis began. 🔸 Distillates (diesel/gasoil): The Middle East and Asia account for a large share of global exports. European diesel stocks are well below five-year minimums and falling. 🔸 Jet fuel: European jet stocks are critically low — in some markets, just weeks of supply remain. Stock-outs are possible later in the summer if the disruption persists. 🔸 Gasoline: The percentage of refineries producing gasoline over jet and diesel has fallen to nearly zero. Atlantic basin gasoline shortages are emerging just as summer driving season approaches. 🔸 Tapping strategic oil reserves is a temporary fix, not a real solution. It buys time but does not replace lost refinery production. Every barrel used today must be replaced later. 🔸 Asian refiners are under the most pressure right now. They are using reserves, cutting production, and limiting exports to keep enough fuel at home. 🔸 The shortage will hit Western markets in May and June. The global refining system faces a severe, enduring supply deficit that cannot be mitigated by strategic reserves, risking widespread fuel shortages. The lack of spare capacity in refining amplifies vulnerabilities, underscoring the need for urgent, long-term solutions. Without intervention, persistent shortages could severely impact transportation, economies, and energy security worldwide. @NewRulesGeo❗Follow us on X
“🚨🇮🇷U.S. AIR FORCE NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S CHEAP HEAT-SEEKERS”
by New Rules on Telegram
@palestine
@Palestine
@[email protected]
@iran
“Iran’s low-tech heat-seeking missiles are turning into a brutal reality check for America’s high-tech airpower — cheap to build, passive, and lethal against low-level US jets and drones caught off-guard in Operation Epic Fury”
🔸 DOZENS DOWNED: US has already lost several dozen aircraft & drones to Iranian fire, including an F-15E Strike Eagle downed two weeks ago (pilot & WSO rescued) + F-35 near-miss in mid-March.
Read more here: https://t.me/newrulesgeo/1926
#Press #SocialMedia #Iran #War #Trump #Israel #OperationEpsteinFury #OperationEpicMistake #RegimeChange #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity #Hormuz #Empire #Collapse #US
🚨🇮🇷U.S. AIR FORCE NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S CHEAP HEAT-SEEKERS Iran’s low-tech heat-seeking missiles are turning into a brutal reality check for America’s high-tech airpower — cheap to build, passive, and lethal against low-level US jets and drones caught off-guard in Operation Epic Fury. 🔸 DOZENS DOWNED: US has already lost several dozen aircraft & drones to Iranian fire, including an F-15E Strike Eagle downed two weeks ago (pilot & WSO rescued) + F-35 near-miss in mid-March. 🔸 INVISIBLE THREAT: Imaging IR MANPADS lock onto engine heat signatures with zero radar emissions — no lock-on warning, proximity fuze detonates on near-miss for massive damage. 🔸 DOMESTIC ARSENAL: Iran reverse-engineers thousands of Soviet/Russian systems, mass-producing simple modular heat-seekers domestically with Cold War-era tech anyone can copy. 🔸 LOW-ALTITUDE KILL ZONE: Shoulder-fired ambushes and saturation launches make ground-attack runs, helicopters & drones extremely vulnerable — forcing Pentagon to rewrite low-level tactics. How do you think the U.S. could counter these systems? @NewRulesGeo❗Follow us on X
Kyiv Independent Daily Headlines
Sven-Erik Volberg
Pepper Qi
Patrick Sudlow
Xavier Levaux
GrumpyOldFart