"The Myth of American Energy Independence"

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/the-myth-of-american-energy-independence

> Make America Drained Again

As always, reality tends to be complex, and indeed much more complex than certain polititian's capability to understand the world (if your language is mainly made of "great", "bad", "obliterate" and "attention on this matter", you are not fit for this). Sadly, media tends not to try to see beyond such simplistic worldview (on the contrary, it just tries to support and deepen such view)

#TheHonestSorcerer #Collapse #USA #PeakOil

«There Is No "Next Economy"»

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/there-is-no-next-economy

>The largest energy crisis in human history has exposed the extractive, wholly unsustainable nature of the Western / Chinese industrial ecosystem. Mining used to happen in poor global south countries using cheap oil, while metallization and part manufacturing was increasingly done in China, using cheap coal. Final product assembly then took place either in China, or somewhere closer to the market, where labor was cheap and easy to exploit. With the Iran war depriving the global south and the mining colony, Australia, of its energy (primarily diesel fuel) the whole extractive industrial ecosystem has come under threat. Bad news is, that there is no next economy: so called “renewables” and batteries use the same raw materials and rely on the same processes as the old, fossil fuel economy. If anything the new, electrified economy has become even more reliant on oil than its “predecessor” ever was. No oil, no green energy either.

[…]

>As you can see from the above, fossil fuels are not essential in transportation or generating electricity only, but in making just about anything: from cheap plastics (a derivative of oil) to ultra-high purity graphite, or from sulfuric acid to diesel fuel. The 20% loss of world supply is thus not just an issue of price, forcing people to commute less or pay more at the pump, but a body blow to the entire materials based supply chain from copper mines in Chile or bauxite mines in Australia, to international shipping, manufacturing and delivery. And that supply chain includes everything: from food to computers, or from solar panels to electric vehicles.

>There is no energy transition, no electrification, no green economy. There is no “next economy” waiting in the wings either. There is just one economy: this one. And when it falters—either due to mineral depletion and peak production, or ecological disaster, perhaps due to climate change, or in this case war—that will be it. The ultimate risk the US-Israel coalition ran by starting a war on Iran was not one temporary shortage, nor a recession, or an increase in geopolitical premiums. It was the risk of starting a highly uneven, cascading collapse of an integrated commercial world order into a drastically simplified, shrinking shadow of a once globalized economy.

#Collapse #Globalization #TheHonestSorcerer

"Silver: A Story of Converging Supply Crises"

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/silver-a-story-of-converging-supply

> Are we in for a Bronze Age Collapse 2.0?

#Collapse #Silver #PeakEverything #PeakDiesel #THS #TheHonestSorcerer #TheSorcerer

"Everything Is Under Control… Until It Isn’t"

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/everything-is-under-control-until

> The limits of self-organization and optimization

I like the Honest Sorcerer's depiction of the current state of Humanity, and the current cycle of civilisation, which will end like others (or worse, maybe in a final nuclear Armageddon, not being able to surpass its technological adolescence, as Carl Sagan putand Nate Hagens recently brought up)

#THS #TheHonestSorcerer #collapse #autophagy

"Running on Empty: Copper" - The Honest Sorcerer

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/running-on-empty-copper

> How peak copper arrived and went completely unnoticed

Please read this article to see clearly how most people advocating for the so called "energy transition" are usually energy-blind, and also materials-(or resources-)blind. The numbers don't add up. Copper demand is expected to rise as copper discoveries have plummeted, and each new discivery has a lower grade (thus higher energy and materials requirements). What lies ahead is what Nate Hagens calls "The Great Simplification", and the only doubt is whether it will be chaotic or ordered. Seeing geopolitical events, I think it will be the former. Maybe we could have adapted all the economic and production system when we were still in relative abundance, had we heeded the warnings, which were already being announced. But now, in the middle of the crisis... I think we'll just have World War 3, which will serve as an excuse for the fall.

#PeakCopper #Copper #Collapse #Energy #EnergyTransition #TheHonestSorcerer #TGS

"Are We Sleepwalking Into a Diesel Shortage?"

https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/are-we-sleepwalking-into-a-diesel-shortage-a7354dc4da84

> The gasoil crisis, after simmering on the back burner for a while, seems to be ready to boil over again.

#Collapse #TheHonestSorcerer #Diesel #PeakOil