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There are inquiries in which scanty evidence is worth using. We may not be able to get certainty, but we can get probability, and half a loaf is better than no bread.

C. S. Lewis (1898-1963) English writer, literary scholar, lay theologian [Clive Staples Lewis]
Essay (1950-10), “Historicism,” The Month, Vol. 4, No. 4 New Series (Vol. 190, No. 998 Old Series)

More about this quote: wist.info/lewis-cs/45027/

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Lewis, C.S. - Essay (1950-10), "Historicism," The Month, Vol. 4, No. 4 New Series (Vol. 190, No. 998 Old Series) | WIST Quotations

There are inquiries in which scanty evidence is worth using. We may not be able to get certainty, but we can get probability, and half a loaf is better than no bread. Regarding historical inquiry based on incomplete evidence. First collected in Christian Reflections (1967). See also Howell (1659).

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WIST Quotations Has Moved!Jun 16, 2025

A quotation from Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death. Both conclusions rely on the exact same data.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist
The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 11 “How to Look for Bird Poop” (2007)

Sourcing, notes: wist.info/taleb-nassim-nichola…

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The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 11 "How to Look for Bird Poop" (2007) - Taleb, Nassim Nicholas | WIST Quotations

The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death. Both conclusions rely on the exact same data.

WIST Quotations

WIST Quotations moves again!Mar 27, 2024

A quotation from Lewis, C.S.:

«
There are inquiries in which scanty evidence is worth using. We may not be able to get certainty, but we can get probability, and half a loaf is better than no bread.
»

Full quote, sourcing, notes:
https://wist.info/lewis-cs/45027/

#quote #quotes #quotation #evidence #history #likelihood #probability #surmise #uncertainty

Lewis, C.S. - Essay (1950-10), "Historicism," The Month, Vol. 4, No. 4 New Series (Vol. 190, No. 998 Old Series) | WIST Quotations

There are inquiries in which scanty evidence is worth using. We may not be able to get certainty, but we can get probability, and half a loaf is better than no bread. Regarding historical inquiry based on incomplete evidence. First collected in Christian Reflections (1967). See also Howell (1659).

WIST Quotations

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http://karafinance.com/2024/02/27/word-search-puzzle-388/

Word Search Puzzle 388

Word List : #drachmal #syssel #paracone #atelier #muridae #refuel #galuth #foreyard #polymny #coexpire #cumshaws #sidebar #surmise #statedly #palstaff #catmint #jiboa #todus

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