the truth about #Somalia
the truth about #Somalia
Guess what % does a #Nigerian company, or the state of #Nigeria, of #oil export terminals do they own?
#war #iran #gulf #venezuela #cuba #bahrain #kurait #oman #uae #saudiArabia #Iraq #Syria #Somalia #Libya #Chad
| 0% | |
| 1-40% | |
| 40-80% | |
| 80-100% |
RE: https://mastodon.social/@thejapantimes/116332088589451935
Exactly, I've been saying this for weeks, with control of #Venezuela US oil companies have the market cornered for a near monopoly. #China still borders #Russia but the rest of the world will have to deal with #Iran fighting all gulf states and none will be exporting. #Opec is over ..
My latest piece on "#Somalia's constitutional crisis: A high-stakes gamble" and adjoining civil conflicts. I thank The HORN International Institute for Strategic Studies for their continued trust.
- Antagonizing federal states
- The #Somaliland dossier deepens the rift
- Further security risks going forward
- Strategic outlook
"The year ahead will rock the boat; yet not every beden sinks in a storm."
https://horninstitute.org/somalias-constitutional-crisis-a-high-stakes-gamble/
- A possible next step might be a larger #war for Jubaland. Nevertheless, international pressure weighs in favour of mediation, which Laftagareen had refused.
- AS controls 2/3 of Southwest state. Infighting between SNA and SNA-allied militias and its opposition will play in the organization’s hands.
- Here, like elsewhere, troubles are not however, with a big election year on the horizon.
Early thoughts on the #war
for Southwest (#Somalia):
- Militarily and politically, this is a resounding federal victory. Laftagareen has resigned, and Southwest state will now align on the new constitution and implement electoral reforms ahead of the 2027 election year.
- #Ethiopia has lost a key ally. Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has again recently vented his grievances against Addis. The fight in Southwest against AS remains a vital Ethiopian interest.
That is a theory, whether an extension of a conspiracy theory where the US (the state) is controlled by Zionist or Russian interest groups ... and the mindless hierarchy in DC is making a mistake and trying to escape from it... or just a-historical mindless speculation with high popularity in social media ... WHO KNOWS!
There may be another theory that all this and the background theater is part of a staged plan and the acts (both Biden's and Trump's wars) are precise and well executed acts within the sequence.
The US will NOT pull out till the dynamics are such where the Saudi states and Iran engage in an endless war between them, Israel controls pretty much everything West and North of Iran and South of Turkey.
The vast majority of oil and gas sold to the industrialized world is controlled by a handful of US/EU/UK/NO based corporations while Russia solely caters the needs of China at a discount from global market.
A weakened Iran against SauAr Ku Qa UAE buying weapons constantly and unable to produce adequate amounts, diminishing selling capacity, endless reconstruction of facilities in more protected harbors of export ... it is an economic development plan to weaken ALL of them involved and benefit the "west".
It is the only way out of bankrupsy for US/UK as their debt has gone unimaginably larger than their true production capacity. Oil and gas are quick fixes for everything else falling apart.
#SaudiArabia #Saudi #Kuwait #Qatar #UAE #Russia #Iran #Syria #Yemen #Somalia #Ethiopia #gaza #Turkey #China #DPRK #Cuba #Venezuela #Nigeria #Donbas
Agenzia Nova: Somalia: presidente dello Stato del Sud-Ovest cancella il post di dimissioni dopo aver lasciato Baidoa
30 mar 23:15 - (Agenzia Nova) - Il presidente dello Stato del Sud-Ovest della Somalia, Abdisiis Hassan Mohamamed, meglio noto come Laftagareen),... (Suk)
Somalia: president of the Southwest State cancels resignation post after leaving Baidoa
30 Mar 23:15 - (Agenzia Nova) - The President of the Southwest State of Somalia, Abdisiis Hassan Mohamamed, better known as Laftagareen),... (Suk)
#Somalia #SouthwestState #Baidoa #AgenziaNova #theSouthwestState #Laftagareen