Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has sparked debate among global investment banks over the future direction of US monetary policy, with major institutions split on the likelihood of further rate cuts, balance sheet reduction, and internal resistance to policy shifts.
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Overseas Investment Banks Debate Direction of US Monetary Policy Following Wash Nomination
Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has sparked debate among global investment banks over the future direction of US monetary policy, with major institutions split on the likelihood of further rate cuts, balance sheet reduction, and internal resistance to policy shifts.
The US Federal Reserve's balance sheet has reversed its year-long decline, rising to $6.58 trillion after the launch of Reserve Management Purchases, with Treasury bill holdings surging by over $38 billion in December.
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[Global Chart]Fed Balance Sheet Rebounds—Assets Reverse Decline at $6.53 Trillion
The US Federal Reserve's balance sheet has reversed its year-long decline, rising to $6.58 trillion after the launch of Reserve Management Purchases, with Treasury bill holdings surging by over $38 billion in December.
FX Swap Points Rebound on Decline in US Yields
FX swap points in South Korea rebounded as US Treasury yields fell, with the one-year tenor rising 0.50 won to -21.20 won, reflecting easing global rate pressures.
Demand for the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility soared to a record $50.35 billion at month-end, reflecting heightened liquidity pressures as banks adjusted balance sheets, while the FOMC confirmed QT will end December 1.
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Fed SRF Demand Surges at Month-End—Highest Since Facility Became Permanent in 2021
Demand for the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility soared to a record $50.35 billion at month-end, reflecting heightened liquidity pressures as banks adjusted balance sheets, while the FOMC confirmed QT will end December 1.
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said it would have been preferable to keep rates unchanged at the October FOMC, emphasizing the need for policy restraint to bring inflation back to target, while also supporting an end to quantitative tightening to ease funding pressures.
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Cleveland Fed President Says 'It Would Have Been Better to Hold Rates at October FOMC'
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said it would have been preferable to keep rates unchanged at the October FOMC, emphasizing the need for policy restraint to bring inflation back to target, while also supporting an end to quantitative tightening to ease funding pressures.
Global investment banks said the October FOMC meeting outcome matched expectations, with most maintaining forecasts for further US rate cuts despite minor surprises in dissenting votes and QT timing.
#YonhapInfomax #FOMC #FederalReserve #RateCut #QuantitativeTightening #JPmorgan #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=88198The Federal Reserve is expected to implement another rate cut in December, with the terminal rate projected at 3.25%, as the central bank shifts focus to employment and ends quantitative tightening.
#YonhapInfomax #FederalReserve #RateCut #TerminalRate #QuantitativeTightening #JeromePowell #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=88119Fed Expected to Cut Rates Again in December—Terminal Rate Seen at 3.25%
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement another rate cut in December, with the terminal rate projected at 3.25%, as the central bank shifts focus to employment and ends quantitative tightening.
U.S. Treasury yields surged as short-term notes plunged, with the yield curve flattening after Fed Chair Powell signaled caution on a December rate cut; markets now price in less than a 70% chance of easing, while the Fed ends QT in December and shortens its balance sheet duration.
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[New York Bond Market]Bear Flattening as Short-Term Treasuries Plunge—Powell Pours Cold Water on December Rate Cut Hopes
U.S. Treasury yields surged as short-term notes plunged, with the yield curve flattening after Fed Chair Powell signaled caution on a December rate cut; markets now price in less than a 70% chance of easing, while the Fed ends QT in December and shortens its balance sheet duration.
'QT to End in December'—How the October FOMC Statement Differs from the Previous Meeting
The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bp at its October FOMC and announced it will end quantitative tightening in December, marking a significant policy shift from the previous meeting.
The US Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by 25bp for a second straight meeting and will end quantitative tightening in December, signaling a shift in monetary policy amid persistent inflation and labor market concerns.
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Fed Cuts Rates for Second Consecutive Meeting—Quantitative Tightening to End in December (Update)
The US Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by 25bp for a second straight meeting and will end quantitative tightening in December, signaling a shift in monetary policy amid persistent inflation and labor market concerns.
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