Ars Technica News1d ago
Pints meet prop bets: Polymarket’s “Situation Room” pop-up bar in DC https://arstechni.ca/HbyN #predictionmarket #polymarket #Culture #dc
Pints meet prop bets: Polymarket’s “Situation Room” pop-up bar in DC

Why did a leading prediction market feel the need for an in-person bar in DC?

Ars Technica
eddieoz5d ago

Empresa de imunoterapia pegando empréstimo para comprar tokens? 😳

Você acredita que uma empresa de imunoterapia pegou US$21 milhões emprestados para comprar tokens de um prediction market? 😱

- O que aconteceu:
• Empresa do setor de imunoterapia tomou um empréstimo bancário de US$21M
• Usou esse dinheiro para comprar tokens de uma plataforma de prediction market até então desconhecida
- Por que isso...

#imunoterapia #tokens #predictionmarket #finanças #investimento #risco #MorningCrypto

BellingenNSW6d ago

Placing bets on war, suffering and environmental destruction
Speculating on online prediction markets is rapidly becoming a feature of modern warfare.

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts "New online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info." >>
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/23/bets-us-iran-ceasefire-show-signs-of-insider-knowledge-say-experts-polymarket

Anonymous gamblers have made millions betting on the events of the Middle East war, prompting US politicians to call for a ban on such speculation. >>
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-11/iran-polymarket-anonymous-gamblers-made-millions-betting/106433384

#war #speculation #MilitaryConflicts #ConfidentialInformation #InsiderInformation #InsiderKnowledge #gambling #warfare #GamblingService #PredictionMarket #InsiderTrading #crime #regulation #necropolitics #Deathworlds

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

Number of new online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info’

The Guardian
sayzardMar 22

cedric (@cedric_chee)

GLM-5가 @predictionbench에서 실시간 거래 중이며, 예측시장 관련 랭킹에서 Kalshi는 1위, Polymarket은 10위라고 언급한다. AI 모델의 성능이나 시장 반응을 보여주는 흥미로운 동향이다.

https://x.com/cedric_chee/status/2035618413402542144

#glm5 #predictionmarket #kalshi #polymarket #ai

cedric (@cedric_chee) on X

Remember nof1? GLM-5 is currently trading live at @predictionbench Rank 1 - Kalshi Rank 10 - Polymarket

X (formerly Twitter)
smegMar 14

Or: what do Polymarket and life insurance have in common?

The Moral Limits of Gambling - by George Dillard
https://worldhistory.substack.com/p/the-moral-limits-of-gambling

#gambling #predictionmarkets #predictionmarket #history #lloyds #insurance #polymarket #kalshi

The Moral Limits of Gambling

Or: what do Polymarket and life insurance have in common?

Looking Through the Past
TechGrumpsMar 11

TechGrumps 3.38 – The Bettification of everything

I bet you don’t know what we are complaining about. I bet you $20

Listen to your host Ryan Alexander with Ian Forrester, David Eastman, and Wendy Grossman.

Techgrumps 3.38

AI Roundup

  • https://simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/13/openai-mission-statement/ Comparing and showing diffs of the openai mission statement over time, you can watch the compromising happen!
  • The new web is markdown, because the agents don’t want ads https://blog.cloudflare.com/markdown-for-agents/ 
  • RA: https://tomloosemorework.wordpress.com/2026/02/19/ai-and-the-end-of-friction-as-a-policy-lever/ very interesting point about agentic AI taking on the engineered process friction put into the processes of accessing many public services.
  • App detects if Smart glasses are near by https://www.404media.co/this-app-warns-you-if-someone-is-wearing-smart-glasses-nearby/?ref=daily-stories-newsletter
  • https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.16800 LLMs can de-anonymize pseudonymous online accounts. Similar to Discord offering to judge age “stochastically”
  • Paper showing that LLMs can link profiles and postings at speed and at scale, pretty much killing online anonymity: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16800

    • Main attractions

    AOB’s

     https://protocolsforpublishers.com/event-recap-london-2026/?ref=protocols-for-publishers-newsletter#stakeholder-forum

    Fediverse share this link: https://connectedplaces.online/reports/fr156-share-where/

    #AI #davideastman #ianforrester #PredictionMarket #ryanalexander #web #wendygrossman
    Ryan Alexander (@rnalexander.bsky.social)

    (He/Him) Culture, Code, Cooking, and Cocktails I computered for a long time, then I peopled the people who computer, and I sometimes still do that while also peopleing the people who people the people who computer (and also people me)

    Bluesky Social
    Marcel SchneuerMar 6

    Aus dem Newsletter von #D64: Auf https://bahn.bet/ gibt es jetzt einen Prediction Market für Bahnverspätungen.

    #bahn #predictionmarket

    Bahn.Bet — Bet on German Train Delays

    Prediction markets on Deutsche Bahn departure delays

    Bahn.Bet
    sayzardFeb 23

    xaitoshi (✧ᴗ✧) (LOCKEDIN) (@xaitoshi_)

    한 개발자가 Dflow를 Claude AI와 완전히 통합하여 Kalshi와 Polymarket 데이터를 활용한 예측시장(Prediction Markets) 터미널을 구현했다고 공유했습니다. 이 트윗은 AI 기반 자동화된 코드 생성 도구가 금융·예측 시스템에 접목되는 새로운 활용 사례를 보여줍니다.

    https://x.com/xaitoshi_/status/2025860908204093779

    #ai #integration #fintech #predictionmarket #automation

    xaitoshi (✧ᴗ✧) (LOCKEDIN) (@xaitoshi_) on X

    Damn was able to integrate @dflow purely with @claudeai. Fully vibe coded prediction markets terminal with both @Kalshi & @Polymarket.

    X (formerly Twitter)
    smegFeb 17

    Because they are. Ban them. They create perverse incentives that our society cannot afford.

    New Zealand Declares Prediction Markets Are Gambling
    https://www.covers.com/industry/new-zealand-declares-prediction-markets-are-gambling-feb-16-2-26

    #predictionmarkets #predictionmarket #gambling #insidertrading #polymarket #kalshi

    New Zealand Declares Prediction Markets Are Gambling

    New Zealand has declared that prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket, along with similar platforms, are illegal under its gambling laws.

    Covers
    BGDon 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 👨‍💻Jan 31

    ChatBots "talking" to ChatBots.

    1. Ok, we knew this would happen.
    2. It has enormous adoption in the geeksphere - not surprising.
    3. It's wickedly insecure.
    4. Yes, it can steal your Crypto - not surprising!
    5. Yes, there is personal information stealing Malware (see #4 above) masquerading as prediction market trading automation tools - not surprising!
    6. The odds of a "Challenger level disaster" happening are real - not surprising!
    6. Finally, NO ONE knows where this is stuff will end up.

    What is the stage beyond wild wild west? That is where this thing is now. https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/30/moltbook/ #OpenClaw #Moltbod #Clawdbot #AI #Opensource #Malware #PromptInjection #DigitalAssistent #ChatBot #SocialNetwork #AIAgents #Security #DataProtection #PersonalData #DataTheft #Crypto #PredictionMarket #Claude