Actually insane but not surprising.

"The trajectory is, indeed, clear. AI does seem to be restructuring how information flows on the internet. Forbes is making a bet that it can keep its digital business afloat by serving as a low-stakes prediction market for news junkies. It’s offering gambling without the stakes and the payout and it’s offering news without first hand reporting or new information. It remains to be seen if this will help it retain readers and keep people on the site."

#predictionmarket #forbes #tech #betting #ai #news #current
https://www.404media.co/forbes-prediction-market-gamefies-story-about-mass-shooting-of-8-children/

Forbes Prediction Market Gamifies Story About Mass Shooting of 8 Children

Forbes launched ForbesPredict in January as part of an effort to reverse declining traffic from search engines and keep users on its website longer.

404 Media

Launch a powerful Polymarket clone script designed for seamless prediction market trading with real-time data and secure blockchain integration. Build a scalable platform with advanced features, smooth user experience, and high-performance architecture tailored for modern Web3 businesses.

Get started here: https://www.malgotechnologies.com/polymarket-clone-script

#PolymarketCloneScript #PredictionMarket #Web3 #BlockchainDevelopment #CryptoStartup #FintechInnovation

Polymarket Clone Script for Prediction Market Development

Our Polymarket Clone Script helps you create a reliable prediction market. Get a feature-rich Polymarket clone software with seamless trading options.

#Paradigm, a major investor in #Kalshi, is developing a #predictionmarket|s trading terminal for professional traders and market makers. The firm is also exploring the creation of prediction market indexes and has begun collecting prediction market data. This move comes as mainstream financial institutions are increasingly interested in prediction markets. https://fortune.com/2026/04/01/paradigm-prediction-markets-trading-terminal-arjun-balaji-kalshi-polymarket/?eicker.news #tech #media #news
Exclusive: Paradigm, a major investor in Kalshi, is building its own prediction markets trading terminal, sources say

The longtime crypto venture firm has invested three times over into Kalshi, and Paradigm’s managing partner Matt Huang is on the startup’s board.

Fortune
Pints meet prop bets: Polymarket’s “Situation Room” pop-up bar in DC https://arstechni.ca/HbyN #predictionmarket #polymarket #Culture #dc
Pints meet prop bets: Polymarket’s “Situation Room” pop-up bar in DC

Why did a leading prediction market feel the need for an in-person bar in DC?

Ars Technica

Empresa de imunoterapia pegando empréstimo para comprar tokens? 😳

Você acredita que uma empresa de imunoterapia pegou US$21 milhões emprestados para comprar tokens de um prediction market? 😱

- O que aconteceu:
• Empresa do setor de imunoterapia tomou um empréstimo bancário de US$21M
• Usou esse dinheiro para comprar tokens de uma plataforma de prediction market até então desconhecida
- Por que isso...

#imunoterapia #tokens #predictionmarket #finanças #investimento #risco #MorningCrypto

Placing bets on war, suffering and environmental destruction
Speculating on online prediction markets is rapidly becoming a feature of modern warfare.

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts "New online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info." >>
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/23/bets-us-iran-ceasefire-show-signs-of-insider-knowledge-say-experts-polymarket

Anonymous gamblers have made millions betting on the events of the Middle East war, prompting US politicians to call for a ban on such speculation. >>
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-11/iran-polymarket-anonymous-gamblers-made-millions-betting/106433384

#war #speculation #MilitaryConflicts #ConfidentialInformation #InsiderInformation #InsiderKnowledge #gambling #warfare #GamblingService #PredictionMarket #InsiderTrading #crime #regulation #necropolitics #Deathworlds

Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

Number of new online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info’

The Guardian

cedric (@cedric_chee)

GLM-5가 @predictionbench에서 실시간 거래 중이며, 예측시장 관련 랭킹에서 Kalshi는 1위, Polymarket은 10위라고 언급한다. AI 모델의 성능이나 시장 반응을 보여주는 흥미로운 동향이다.

https://x.com/cedric_chee/status/2035618413402542144

#glm5 #predictionmarket #kalshi #polymarket #ai

cedric (@cedric_chee) on X

Remember nof1? GLM-5 is currently trading live at @predictionbench Rank 1 - Kalshi Rank 10 - Polymarket

X (formerly Twitter)

Or: what do Polymarket and life insurance have in common?

The Moral Limits of Gambling - by George Dillard
https://worldhistory.substack.com/p/the-moral-limits-of-gambling

#gambling #predictionmarkets #predictionmarket #history #lloyds #insurance #polymarket #kalshi

The Moral Limits of Gambling

Or: what do Polymarket and life insurance have in common?

Looking Through the Past

TechGrumps 3.38 – The Bettification of everything

I bet you don’t know what we are complaining about. I bet you $20

Listen to your host Ryan Alexander with Ian ForresterDavid Eastman, and Wendy Grossman.

Techgrumps 3.38

AI Roundup

  • https://simonwillison.net/2026/Feb/13/openai-mission-statement/ Comparing and showing diffs of the openai mission statement over time, you can watch the compromising happen!
  • The new web is markdown, because the agents don’t want ads https://blog.cloudflare.com/markdown-for-agents/ 
  • RA: https://tomloosemorework.wordpress.com/2026/02/19/ai-and-the-end-of-friction-as-a-policy-lever/ very interesting point about agentic AI taking on the engineered process friction put into the processes of accessing many public services.
  • App detects if Smart glasses are near by https://www.404media.co/this-app-warns-you-if-someone-is-wearing-smart-glasses-nearby/?ref=daily-stories-newsletter
  • https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.16800 LLMs can de-anonymize pseudonymous online accounts. Similar to Discord offering to judge age “stochastically”
  • Paper showing that LLMs can link profiles and postings at speed and at scale, pretty much killing online anonymity: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16800
  • Main attractions

    AOB’s

     https://protocolsforpublishers.com/event-recap-london-2026/?ref=protocols-for-publishers-newsletter#stakeholder-forum

    Fediverse share this link: https://connectedplaces.online/reports/fr156-share-where/

    #AI #davideastman #ianforrester #PredictionMarket #ryanalexander #web #wendygrossman
    Ryan Alexander (@rnalexander.bsky.social)

    (He/Him) Culture, Code, Cooking, and Cocktails I computered for a long time, then I peopled the people who computer, and I sometimes still do that while also peopleing the people who people the people who computer (and also people me)

    Bluesky Social

    Aus dem Newsletter von #D64: Auf https://bahn.bet/ gibt es jetzt einen Prediction Market für Bahnverspätungen.

    #bahn #predictionmarket

    Bahn.Bet — Bet on German Train Delays

    Prediction markets on Deutsche Bahn departure delays

    Bahn.Bet