Dumb-asses, they are the same people*.
[*Or, maybe that's the goal]
Dumb-asses, they are the same people*.
[*Or, maybe that's the goal]
Ars Technica (@arstechnica)
미국이 예측시장(prediction markets)에서 내부자 거래를 잡아내기 위해 AI 활용에 베팅하고 있다는 내용입니다. AI를 이용해 비정상 패턴과 의심 거래를 탐지하는 방향으로, 금융 감시·리스크 모니터링 영역의 실제 적용 사례로 볼 수 있습니다.
Oh, surprise, surprise,...
Prediction markets see surge in suspicious trades as popularity explodes https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/prediction-markets-see-surge-suspicious-trades-popularity-explodes-2026-05-15/ #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket #zeitgeist
People betting on Paris temperatures… and possibly trying to influence data from a weather station inside Charles de Gaulle Airport to win.
Weather is no longer just forecasting.
It is increasingly becoming a financial asset.
And when uncertainty becomes tradable, data integrity becomes critical.
The US Is Using AI to Hunt Down Insider Trading on Polymarket
🎲 Most Polymarket Users Lose Money, While Top 1% Claim 76.5% of Gains, Study Finds - Slashdot
「 just 1,200 people took more than half the profits — $591 million, or more than $100,000 each. ["The top 1% of users capture 76.5% of all trading gains," the researchers write.] When you dabble in prediction markets, you're competing against these sophisticated players who consistently win 」

In Polymarket's prediction market, "most people end up losing money," reports the Washington Post — typically a few bucks. "Since Polymarket launched in 2022, a few thousand people have lost the bulk of the money... and an even smaller group — .05 percent of users — has gone home...

US prediction market participants on Kalshi and Polymarket are betting inflation could reach 5% this year following elevated April CPI data, with odds significantly exceeding Wall Street forecasts as Middle East tensions threaten prolonged supply chain disruptions and sustained price pressures.
Trump Media Scales Back Plans for Its Own Prediction Market