Population estimate and critical mass

Time it took/takes to go up 1 billion
100,000,000+ years (1 billion)
? years (2 billion)
? years (3 billion) (1960)
14 years (4 billion) (1974)
13 years (5 billion) (1987)
12 years (6 billion) (1999)
12 years (7 billion) (2011)
11 years (8 billion) (2022)
PREDICTION, DATA PATTERN ONLY: 10 years (9 billion) (2032)
PREDICTION, DATA PATTERN ONLY: 9 years (10 billion) (2041) [CRITICAL MASS]
PREDICTION, DATA PATTERN ONLY: 8 years (11 billion) (2049) [TOO OVERPOPULATED TO SURVIVE, 2042-2044+]

These predictions are based on the data pattern only. There are other factors that can have an affect this as well (environment, resources, famine, fertility rate, sex education, war, genocide, extinction, economy) they are much harder to predict in the big picture.

Again, everything regarding doomsday seems to point towards 2050 CE (the date in which most endgame scenarios will happen by) that hasn't changed in over a decade.

#overpopulation #statistics #speculation #dayof9billion

Segundo esse estudo um número sustentável para a população seria 2,5 bilhões.
"... a população provavelmente atingirá seu pico de 11.7 a 12.4 bilhões por volta do fim de 2060 ou 20270."

https://phys.org/news/2026-03-global-human-population-earth.html

#overshoot #childfree #paredeterfilho #overpopulation

Global human population is pushing Earth past its breaking point

Earth has already exceeded its ability to support the global population sustainably, with new research warning of increasing pressure on food security, climate stability, and human well-being. However, slowing population growth and raising global awareness could still offer humanity some hope.

Phys.org
https://theconversation.com/as-david-attenborough-turns-100-four-experts-explore-his-legacy-from-science-to-storytelling-279275. It may not be true that #climatechange is linked to excess #population, but #biodiversity #loss certainly is - & the combination of #climate change, #biodiversityloss, the deleterious impact of #modern intensive #farming #methods & #overpopulation will lead to a Malthusian catastrophe, @ConversationUK. See my: https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/wef2n_v1.
As David Attenborough turns 100, four experts explore his legacy, from science to storytelling

Attenborough has influenced everything from conservation and documentary production to the communication of the biggest story of all – climate change.

The Conversation
Wow. More than 17,300 downloads in 2 weeks since publication: Global human population has surpassed Earth’s sustainable carrying capacity iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... #overpopulation

[P] I think it's callous to bring a child into this cruelty. Thanks to monsters, ours is a dying world, and a cruel one. Everything is worse for each new generation. As it stands, without extreme population degrowth? There is no future. It'll only get worse. How could one look at such a cruel, dying world and think "Gosh, what a perfect environment for a child!" without being a monster?

#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot

-5

[P] Further, greed invites thoughts of legacy snd the indentured servitude of the child. It's laughable to say that this isn't a consideration in the mind of every parent. "Who'll look after me when I'm old? Who'll look after my vocation and legacy?" The child is seen as a play for quasi-immortality, and a carer bound by ball-wnd-chain in blood. If the child were thoight of first? One just wouldn't.

#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot

-4

[P] "Why shouldn't I breed if others do? In this future, we'll just keep taking from others to support MY child." It's a feedback loop beteeen the monstrous traits and the procreational instinct. "What care I of the turgid circumstance of tomorrow when my child is todsy?" It carries that essence of a puppy being for life, not just for Christmas—a point which many humans fail at aswell.

#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot

-3

[P] I can see how the instinct to procreate could be well served by the monstrous traits of greed, tribalism, and empathy deficit. Greed empowers the procreational instinct, to spread genes, to be a parent. Tribalism empowers the act, as the desire is to create more of us than there is of them (white replacement, et al). And empathy deficit means one doesn't give to much care to the future.

#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot

-2

[P] I'm curious about the intersection of the normalised monster traits of humanity and breeding. To begin, the world is clearly overpopulated, claiming otherwise is spreading wealthy whitey billionaire propaganda.

https://www.sciencealert.com/earths-population-has-surpassed-the-planets-capacity-study-suggests

The earth IS grossly overpopulated. This is science fact. So why is it denied? Why is the propaganda believed? I want to examine that a little bit.

#psychology #actuallyautistic #neurotypicals #science #childfree #overpopulation #overshoot

-1

Earth's Population Has Surpassed The Planet's Capacity, Study Suggests

The human population has already grown too large and demanding for Earth to sustainably support at current consumption levels, a new study warns.

ScienceAlert