"Choose velocity over certainty." - Futurist Jim Carroll

Now is not the time to slow down.

Here's why - all things I've written about before.

The Indecision Tax: Many leaders lose their edge during change, not because they made "bad" choices, but because they waited too long to make any choice at all. Indecision is a tax that drains your competitive advantage while others move ahead.

Inaction is a Decision: When things get volatile, many people freeze and hope for more information. What if there is none? You must realize that standing still is actually a choice. And in a fast-moving world, it is almost always the most expensive risk you can take.

Move Beyond "Pilot Purgatory": Organizations often get stuck in a loop of small, safe tests. Survival requires the speed to move instantly from a small experiment to a massive rollout before the window of opportunity closes.

Strategic Humility Over Pride: To move fast, you must trade the pride of "knowing everything" for the speed of learning new things. What worked yesterday is often a heavy anchor that holds you back from tomorrow's solutions.

Radical Subtraction for Speed: To increase velocity, focus on removing complexity rather than adding more process. Layers of approval and bureaucracy are the primary enemies of speed; you must lean out to accelerate.

Developing Anticipatory Intelligence: The most valuable commodity in a fast world is time. By seeing trends early, you gain a head start to act with velocity before the rest of the market falls into a panic.

The Velocity of Reinvention: Your goal isn't to build a fortress that resists change, but a culture that constantly reinvents itself. Resilience is found in the speed of your transformation, not the strength of your defenses.

Actionable Clarity: Dream, Prove, Win: Innovation follows a simple rhythm: think big enough to dream, start small enough to prove it works, and move fast enough to win. This keeps you moving even when the long-term view is blurry.

The "OODA Loop" on Steroids: Winners are those who observe and act the fastest. By collapsing the time between a decision and an act, you brute-force your way to the right answer through rapid real-world testing.

Escape Velocity: To launch a new idea, you must apply overwhelming force to overcome the pull of "how we've always done it." If you don't pick up the pace, the gravity of the past will eventually pull you down.

Stop waiting for clarity that won't come.

Get moving.

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**#Velocity** **#Certainty** **#Speed** **#Action** **#Leadership** **#Decisions** **#Movement** **#Agility** **#Innovation** **#Change** **#Strategy** **#Momentum** **#Clarity** **#Transformation** **#Reinvention** **#Fast** **#OODA** **#Indecision** **#Escape** **#Focus** **#Anticipation** **#Simplicity** **#Courage** **#Winning** **#Onwards**

Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2026/03/decoding-tomorrow-daily-inspiration-choose-velocity-over-certainty/

#Friendlyreminder : Bitte merkt euch, wo ihr seid! Klingt seltsam, kann aber #Leben retten, vor allem, wenn ihr gerade nicht bei euch zu Hause seid! Bringt es euren Kindern bei! Es ist auch völlig okay, einen Zettel mit der eigenen Adresse in die Wohnung zu hängen.
War abends zu einem #Herzstillstand alarmiert worden. Leider hat der Anrufer n der Aufregung SEINE #Adresse angegeben (und ging nicht mehr ans Handy) anstelle der echten Notfalladresse.
Wir haben 15Minuten lang gesucht. Zum Glück gab es trotz Mietskaserne ausreichend freundliche Nachbarn, die zusammen dann zur Lösung beitrugen. Für den #Patienten leider dennoch zu spät…
#Rettungsdienst #OODA #Notfall

Finally, test one upcoming decision against those risks for 5 minutes. Focus on high-impact triggers you can’t ignore, like hidden supply chain issues.

This takes 30 minutes total. It helps avoid overthinking decisions and builds flexible plans.

#StrategicForesight #DecisionMaking #ScenarioPlanning #OODA #Foresight #StrategicPlanning #MythBuster #StrategicThinking #Strategy #StrategicAnalysis #Leadership #Management #RealityCheck #FactCheck (2/2)

AutoGPT × OODAループ 続編:自己改善型AgentOpsとKPI連携の構築を考える - Qiita

はじめに:前回からの続編として 前回の記事「AutoGPT × OODAループ【実践&応用編】」では、AutoGPTにOODAループの思考パターンを組み込むことで、AIが自律的に「観察→仮説→意思決定→行動→再評価」を繰り返す構成を紹介しました。 今回はさらに一歩進めて、...

Qiita
Agentic AI’s OODA Loop Problem - Schneier on Security

The OODA loop—for observe, orient, decide, act—is a framework to understand decision-making in adversarial situations. We apply the same framework to artificial intelligence agents, who have to make their decisions with untrustworthy observations and orientation. To solve this problem, we need new systems of input, processing, and output integrity. Many decades ago, U.S. Air Force Colonel John Boyd introduced the concept of the “OODA loop,” for Observe, Orient, Decide, and Act. These are the four steps of real-time continuous decision-making. Boyd developed it for fighter pilots, but it’s long been applied in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics. An AI agent, like a pilot, executes the loop over and over, accomplishing its goals iteratively within an ever-changing environment. This is Anthropic’s definition: “Agents are models using tools in a loop.”...

Schneier on Security

AutoGPT × OODAループ【実践&応用編】思考と行動をエージェント化する仕組みを考えてみる
https://qiita.com/ota-tsutomu/items/dae05eb6eebafe049bff?utm_campaign=popular_items&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=popular_items

#qiita #OODA #業務自動化 #AutoGPT #AIエージェント

AutoGPT × OODAループ【実践&応用編】思考と行動をエージェント化する仕組みを考えてみる - Qiita

はじめに 以前の記事では、OODAループの概要と現場への適用についてQiitaで紹介しました! 今回はその 発展型として「AutoGPT × OODA」 をテーマに、「思考」と「実行」を自動で回す AIエージェントシステムを考えてみます。 (ただ、AutoGPTには一定の...

Qiita

#OODA . Souto de Moura https://ift.tt/uLWCNdj | posted by afasia | daily entries on contemporary art and architecture #afasiaarchzine #afasiaarq |

#architecture #arquitectura #design

Oricon Tower . Tirana OODA . Eduardo Souto de Moura The Oricon To…

OODAループ × Notionテンプレートでプロジェクトの意思決定を高速化した実践記
https://qiita.com/ota-tsutomu/items/24438601619a9e95443c?utm_campaign=popular_items&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=popular_items

#qiita #pm #OODA #Notion

OODAループ × Notionテンプレートでプロジェクトの意思決定を高速化した実践記 - Qiita

🧭 はじめに OODA(ウーダ)ループって、実は1970年代にアメリカ空軍で生まれたフレームワークです。 「Observe → Orient → Decide → Act」――つまり「観察して、状況を読み解いて、判断して、動く」。 ちょっと古い? いえいえ。 実はこのOO...

Qiita

How Israel’s Operation Rising Lion Dismantled Iran from Within: A Case Study in the Art of Deception | Hudson Institute

https://www.hudson.org/defense-strategy/how-israels-operation-rising-lion-dismantled-iran-within-case-study-art-deception

#Israel #Palestine #Zionism #OODA #Iran

How Israel’s Operation Rising Lion Dismantled Iran from Within: A Case Study in the Art of Deception

On June 13, the Islamic Republic of Iran experienced a strategic collapse that altered the balance of power in the Middle East. Israel eliminated key Iranian military and scientific personnel, degraded the country’s missile infrastructure, and neutralized its early-warning systems.

Hudson Institute
If the #OODA Loop isn’t about reading the room, knowing what time it is, and understanding the assignment, then it’s a useless managerial acronym.