Funny that this list of cognitive biases and irrationalities was published in February 2020, shortly before the COVID-19 crisis hit.
https://collabfund.com/blog/100-little-ideas/
Then suddenly, everyone in society had personal experience with the same issues: the shutdown, or virus itself. It's not like the housing shortage or most other issues, when people's experience varies so much that a bunch of folks aren't even aware while other folks can't think of anything else. Simultaneously, a range of data and hypotheses about the issues were being publicized AND we all had time to pay attention.
We each tried - at least briefly, before making up our minds - to reconcile individual experience with the wider pictures hinted at by health data, case studies, proposals, and pundits who had no other news to talk about.
Was the result an unprecedented laboratory for how humans interpret and misinterpret the same phenomena?
Semmelweis Reflex,
Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy,
apophenia,
Neglect of Probability,
Perfect Solution Fallacy,
Backfiring Effect,
Fluency Heuristic,
and perhaps most of all, Tribal Affiliation.
I don't know if I'll ever have the information and wisdom to know if I've mostly behaved (and believed) rightly. It's hard to resist confirmation bias.
#psychology #skepticism #COVID19 #science #rationality #2020s #humansareweird