A somewhat rambling but overall well-founded analysis by Robert Pape, a military theorist.

And so this war is now only about preventing a major catastrophe from turning into a global one.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OW4UUmEaQE

#IranWar
#Trump
#GameTheory

‘Longtime DISASTER’: Political science professor Robert Pape discusses war in Iran with Chris Hayes

YouTube

Trump is desperate — John Mearsheimer

Video prompted to the desperation segment, which says it all

https://youtu.be/1jstl3GhAYg?t=1208

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Peace, commerce, and honest friendship with all nations—entangling alliances with none’ — Thomas Jefferson

#asymmetricWarfare #gameTheory #geopolitics #infiltration #pathocracy #strategy #war
Prof. John Mearsheimer : No Way for Trump to Win

YouTube

Ray McGovern provides a valuable overview of the Iran War with succinct references to US intelligence history and organization

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4ubfo93V24

#analysis #espionage #gameTheory #history #war
Ray McGovern : Why Isn’t Trump Listening to Intelligence?

YouTube

If you want to know #Iran's strategy in this war, watch the attached video. It's classic "Tit for Tat".

The irony here is that The Rand Corporation, a US Military Think Tank, is the one that conclusively determined that Tit for Tat was the best strategy to use in the face of an irrational adversary, they just didn't know it would be a US President that was the irrational actor.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM

#USPol #USPolitics #USPoli #GameTheory #TitForTat #PrisonersDilema

This game theory problem will change the way you see the world

This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...

YouTube

New paper!

Many social interactions are founded on trust, even though a selfish untrustworthy behaviour often provides a larger payoff. Thus, an implicit or explicit reward is often offered as an incentive for fair behaviour. We show that the existence of such an offer is not enough to promote trustworthiness. In fact, counterintuitively, too large rewards may suppress trust, and lowering the intrinsic cost of offering a reward is not sufficient to boost honesty.

https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/8992-hzsq

#physics #mathematics #gametheory #networks #bifurcations #evolutionarygame #reward #trust

From a game theory perspective: The Strait of Hormuz presents a classic Schelling game where maritime transit risk converts tactical incidents into systemic consequences. Analysis outlines four strategic equilibria with probabilities and critical tripwires. https://post.kapualabs.com/bc63pp23 #Geopolitics #RiskAssessment #GameTheory #StraitOfHormuz
Beyond hope and hype: five certainties in the AI storm

The just-published Anthropic paper by Massenkoff and McCrory is a genuinely careful, well-intentioned and much-needed piece of work. The authors build a

IwPost

RE: https://mastodon.social/@VeroniqueB99/116189617814795057

The difference between strategy for people who see life as having an end state and those who see themselves as a part of an ongoing process makes a major difference in how you "play the game". #GameTheory