RE: https://mastodon.social/@goalimpact/115611396519922439
Still playing, but i think it's already a big win for the model. Bettors underestimated the impact of Gala's weak bench. Their starting players had to play the full 90 minutes. The only substitution they did was forced by injury.
RE: https://mastodon.social/@goalimpact/115611363701628255
Ok, this is wildly off the betting markets that strongly favor #galatasaray. So i had a look why this difference.
Gala has about the same quality in the starting XI and hence is a slight favorite in the first half. However, their bench is way worse than their starting players giving USG the edge at the end of the match.