The first day that I wear capri trousers and it is going to rain for the next three days #causation #correlation

If scale blindness explains why humans mistake local patterns for universal laws, correlation‑causation confusion explains why humans mistake coincidence for intention. #coincidence #correlation

https://survivorliteracy.com/2026/04/24/chapter-8-correlation-causation-and-confirmation-bias/

Chapter 8 — Correlation, Causation, and Confirmation Bias

If scale blindness explains why humans mistake local patterns for universal laws, correlation‑causation confusion explains why humans mistake coincidence for intention. The nervous system is not bu…

Survivor Literacy

This article explores the 3 vital rules of science. Together, they offer a powerful lens for evaluating the validity of claims and conclusions.

🔗 https://www.scottgraffius.com/blog/files/3-vital-rules-of-science-what-they-are-and-why-they-matter.html

#Science #CriticalThinking #Falsifiability #Replicability #Correlation #Causation

Ultimately, any "intelligence" we perceive in these models is projected by us. The model only understands the mathematical links between variables and outcomes. As George Box famously noted: "All models are wrong, but some are useful."

This tread is about generative AI and AGI in general and Large Language Models in particular.

#machinelearning #ai #llm #correlation #causalinference #causation

5/5

In #Singapore #data showed that 95% children aged 10 to 16, and more than half of adults, were not using a seat belt when an accident happened with a clear #correlation that "not using seat belts does result in worse injuries". #trauma #healthcare #roadaccident www.straitstimes.com/singapore/co...

Almost all children with road ...
Almost all children with road injuries in Singapore were not buckled up: Trauma data

Ninety-five per cent of older children and over half of adults involved in road accidents were not using a seat belt. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.

The Straits Times
Another modest proposal: someone should launch a study design to determine how robust the #correlation is between the overall #educational level in a #country and the extent to which its politics are f***ed up by #populism.

#statstab #508 Agreement Tests {SimplyAgree}

Thoughts: "R package was created to make the process of quantifying measurement agreement, consistency, and reliability"

#agreement #reliability #rstats #r #correlation #concordance

https://aaroncaldwell.us/SimplyAgree/articles/agree_tests.html

Agreement Tests

Bitcoin Breaks a 10-Year Correlation With Stocks What Past Cycles Signal for 2026

https://misryoum.com/us/markets/bitcoin-breaks-a-10-year-correlation-with-stocks/

Summary:Bitcoin underperforms equities in a 10-year divergence, raising questions about cycle timing and Bitcoin’s outlook for 2026. Bitcoin is sending a signal that has not appeared in more than a decade. For the first time since 2014, US equities...

#Bitcoin #Breaks #10Year #Correlation #With #Stocks #What #Past #Cycles #Signal #for #2026 #US_News_Hub #misryoum_com

Bitcoin Breaks a 10-Year Correlation With Stocks What Past Cycles Signal for 2026

Summary:Bitcoin underperforms equities in a 10-year divergence, raising questions about cycle timing and Bitcoin’s outlook for 2026. Bitcoin is sending a

US News Hub
Per capita consumption of margarine correlates with The divorce rate in Maine (r=0.993)

Perhaps as people used less margarine, they became less slippery in their relationships. The lack of artificial spread may have kept the couples from buttering each other up, leading to a decrease in overall marital strife. That's the reality when you can't believe it's not butter - it's a recipe for marital success. Alternatively, it could be that as the margarine consumption decreased, so did the overall slickness in the state, leading to fewer instances of partners feeling like they couldn't grip the marriage.