If scale blindness explains why humans mistake local patterns for universal laws, correlation‑causation confusion explains why humans mistake coincidence for intention. #coincidence #correlation
https://survivorliteracy.com/2026/04/24/chapter-8-correlation-causation-and-confirmation-bias/
This article explores the 3 vital rules of science. Together, they offer a powerful lens for evaluating the validity of claims and conclusions.
#Science #CriticalThinking #Falsifiability #Replicability #Correlation #Causation
Ultimately, any "intelligence" we perceive in these models is projected by us. The model only understands the mathematical links between variables and outcomes. As George Box famously noted: "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
This tread is about generative AI and AGI in general and Large Language Models in particular.
#machinelearning #ai #llm #correlation #causalinference #causation
5/5
#statstab #508 Agreement Tests {SimplyAgree}
Thoughts: "R package was created to make the process of quantifying measurement agreement, consistency, and reliability"
#agreement #reliability #rstats #r #correlation #concordance
https://aaroncaldwell.us/SimplyAgree/articles/agree_tests.html
Bitcoin Breaks a 10-Year Correlation With Stocks What Past Cycles Signal for 2026
https://misryoum.com/us/markets/bitcoin-breaks-a-10-year-correlation-with-stocks/
Summary:Bitcoin underperforms equities in a 10-year divergence, raising questions about cycle timing and Bitcoin’s outlook for 2026. Bitcoin is sending a signal that has not appeared in more than a decade. For the first time since 2014, US equities...
#Bitcoin #Breaks #10Year #Correlation #With #Stocks #What #Past #Cycles #Signal #for #2026 #US_News_Hub #misryoum_com
r = 0.993
For every correlation, the site includes an AI-generated explanation of why the cause-and-effect is "real"
#maine #ai #correlation #dataliteracy #divorce #teachingtools

Perhaps as people used less margarine, they became less slippery in their relationships. The lack of artificial spread may have kept the couples from buttering each other up, leading to a decrease in overall marital strife. That's the reality when you can't believe it's not butter - it's a recipe for marital success. Alternatively, it could be that as the margarine consumption decreased, so did the overall slickness in the state, leading to fewer instances of partners feeling like they couldn't grip the marriage.