Unos pocos kilómetros de agua controlan billones en comercio. Los #chokepoints son donde se juega el poder global. Entenderlos es entender la #geopolítica del futuro.

#España es líder en #serviciosmarítimos y #logísticos. Nuestra presencia en el #Indo-Pacífico no es solo militar: es económica, diplomática y estratégica. Porque entender los choke points es entender dónde se juega nuestro futuro comercial.📌 CODA FINAL: POR QUÉ LA UE SÍ HACE BIEN
La UE invierte billones en paneles solares, molinos

Debate sobre “autonomía estratégica” lleva décadas sin resolverse. Resultado: máxima exposición al riesgo de cierre de #chokepoints sin capacidad de respuesta.
❄️ EL FUTURO: ÁRTICO
El #deshielopolar abre nuevas rutas. El Paso del Noroeste reduce 40% la distancia Europa-Asia vs. Panamá. Pero: solo navegable 2-3 meses/año, falta infraestructura, costes de seguro altísimos. No será alternativa real hasta 2030-2040
🎯 CONCLUSIÓN
La #geografía sigue siendo importante en el siglo XXI. #geopolitica
Uso dual comercial-militar. En conflicto se activarían RESPUESTA ESTADOUNIDENSE
¿Por qué EEUU habla de “recuperar” Panamá y comprar Groenlandia? Simple: control de #chokepoints.
→ Panamá: 6% del comercio global, ruta crítica Asia-costa este USA. China controla puertos en ambos extremos (Hutchison Ports)
#Groenlandia: acceso al Paso del Noroeste (ruta ártica emergente q reduce 40% distancia Europa-Asia). Quien controle Groenlandia controlará el choke point del futuro.
→ Djibouti: primera base militar china en el extranjero (2017), capacidad para 10,000 tropas, controla Bab el-Mandeb
#Myanmar: oleoductos desde costa hasta Yunnan, puerto de Kyaukpyu, permite importar #energía sin pasar por Malaca. India lo ve como un cerco
💭 EL GRAN DEBATE
China dice “Son proyectos comerciales legítimos bajo la Iniciativa de la Fruta y Ruta"
EEUU/India responden: “Es militarización encubierta para controlar #chokepoints
Realidad: probablemente ambas.

We need to remind ourselves--Trump has never had a mandate:

“On November 8, 2016, just 77,000 votes in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin delivered the presidency to Trump. The Obama team was in shock. One of the main reasons they had held back on punishing Putin for his interference in the election was their belief that Clinton would win. ”

Excerpt From
Chokepoints
Edward Fishman

#chokepoints #edwardfishman #books #russia #trump #clinton #Russianinterference #bookstodon

“It cannot be stressed strongly enough that without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be an empire,” wrote Zbigniew Brzezinski, the Polish-born former U.S. national security advisor, in 1994. An Oxbridge don put it in less delicate terms: “With the Ukraine, Russia is a USA; without, she is a Canada—mostly snow.”

Excerpt From
Chokepoints
Edward Fishman

#chokepoints #edwardFishman #ukraine #russia

Pluralistic: The enshittification of solar (and how to stop it) (23 Sep 2025)

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/23/our-friend-the-electron/

Pluralistic: The enshittification of solar (and how to stop it) (23 Sep 2025) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow

Pluralistic: It's still censorship (even if it doesn't violate the First Amendment) (22 Sep 2025)

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://pluralistic.net/2025/09/22/one-throat-to-choke/

Pluralistic: It’s still censorship (even if it doesn’t violate the First Amendment) (22 Sep 2025) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow

@TheConversationUS on the #US going #Hungary - maybe:

»Authoritarian populists tilt the democratic playing field to favor themselves and their personal and political interests. Subverting #democracy from the inside without violent repression allows leaders like #Orbán and #Trump to pretend they are democratic. This authoritarianism from within creates #chokepoints where the #opposition isn’t crushed, but it has a hard time breathing.«

https://theconversation.com/i-watched-hungarys-democracy-dissolve-into-authoritarianism-as-a-member-of-parliament-and-i-see-troubling-parallels-in-trumpism-and-its-appeal-to-workers-224930

I watched Hungary’s democracy dissolve into authoritarianism as a member of parliament − and I see troubling parallels in Trumpism and its appeal to workers

One of Donald Trump’s favorite politicians is the Hungarian authoritarian leader Viktor Orbán. Would a country led again by Trump embrace similar antidemocratic politics?

The Conversation