Does Iran war make a China attack on Taiwan more likely?

It’s too soon to tell, as the fight with Iran started less than a week ago. But at least in the near-term, China will likely hold its fire on Taiwan.

IwPost

Amid Middle East hostilities, China is in high-level talks with Iran to secure safe passage for its oil and LNG vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. The critical energy chokepoint has seen tanker traffic disrupted by the US/Israeli conflict with Iran. Heavily reliant on this route, Beijing is pressing Tehran to guarantee access for its energy shipments. A China-owned vessel has already transited, but more traffic is needed to stabilize surging global prices.

#oilprices #chinairan

Five Chinese cargo planes vanished near Iran—right after Israeli airstrikes. No one knows what they carried. But if they were loaded with weapons, China may have just entered the war… without firing a shot.
🧵 Read more: https://www.ryanjhite.com/2025/06/23/chinas-quiet-war-why-five-vanishing-planes-may-change-everything/
#ChinaIran #ProxyWar
Five Missing Chinese Planes and the War Iran Can’t Win Alone

Five Chinese 747s disappeared near Iran—and no one knows what they carried. But their vanishing act may signal something bigger: China preparing to turn Iran’s war into America’s next forever conflict. Here’s how Beijing could reshape the battlefield.

Ryan J. Hite