"Overshoot: Why It's Already Too Late To Save Civilization"

https://www.collapsemusings.com/overshoot-why-its-already-too-late-to-save-civilization/

> Now that humans have overshot the carrying capacity of the planet, collapse is inevitable no matter what we do.

Yes, I think it's exactly like that, no matter what Elon Musk and others of his school of thought may say. "Funny" how they insist on not seeing the material input required to sustain the current civilization, not to mention its exponential growth (growth required by the Capitalist system)

#Collapse #Overshoot #CarryingCapacity

“The 7 Fundamental Drivers of Overshoot” by Nate Hagens

How growing consumption is pushing Earth beyond its carrying capacity

This is a refinement of a previous “Frankly” episode, in the form of an essay. I think it’s very useful to learn concepts such as the carbon pulse, overshoot and carrying capacity, the economic superorganism, the effect of addiction to dopamine (in a brain designed and fine-tuned for an environment very different than our current one in cities, and western culture)… As Nate says: there is no solution because there is no problem; instead, we face a predicament with maybe different outcomes.

#TheGreatSimplification #NateHagens #Overshoot #CarryingCapacity #EconomicSuperorganism #dopamine #Collapse

The 7 Fundamental Drivers of Overshoot

How growing consumption is pushing Earth beyond its carrying capacity

The Great Simplification

@Pampa Yes, it is a remote dream. I am expecting #CivilisationCollapse by 2040 and that my child and grandchild will not have a habitable planet because I too do not think the things that are needed to avoid it are going to happen. However, if I allow this dystopian view to dominate my thoughts I will be so depressed that I will not be able to enjoy the rest of my life, so, I do what I can to reduce the damage and prepare for the worst.

I am, therefore, what is known as an #OptimisticDoomer, as opposed to an out and out #Doomer who has simply given up in face of the overwhelming evidence of the #overshoot of #PlanetaryLimits and so Planetary #CarryingCapacity.

Thanks for the reference to the Circularity Gap report 2023. Looks really useful. https://www.circularity-gap.world/2023

CGR 2023

@Climatehistories In his book Overshoot, "...Catton is making a _positive_ argument for change, rather than misanthropic framework to label our predicament"

and once our predicament is understood, we can then agree and take action.

https://www.resilience.org/stories/2023-05-10/overshoot-the-ecological-basis-of-revolutionary-change/

#Overshoot #overpopulation #CarryingCapacity #population #climate #ClimateChange

Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change

Though, ‘Overshoot’, is ostensibly a book about biophysical limits, the theme that runs through it is about the human propensity for denying obvious facts: Our ability to deceive not only others, but more importantly, ourselves.

resilience

@LordCaramac @breadandcircuses

That many people won't weather the temperatures and storms we've unleashed. So the large number you used measures nothing useful (in my view) but has the bad effect of tethering conversations to anchor bias that cannot be intellectually overcome, even if you only offered it as a stawman to dismiss. I strongly recommend not doing that.

I have the same issue with even mentioning programs that plan to be helpful other than ASAP, yesterday, immediately, etc. Naming any future year suggests the option to pace what can have no safe pace. Better we understand our state will be perpetually "behind schedule and lucky if humanity is still standing" for our lifetimes. Anything else is throwing away thi shreds of hope of any future.

I personally measure carrying capacity not by best case scenarios, such as you vaguely cite, but by worst, and we're not well-preparing for any worst case, much less an enduring crescendo of worst cases.

#climate #CarryingCapacity #AnchoringBias #psychology #ClimateCommunication #ClimateUrgency #Sustainability