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#WarUpdates
Weekly highlight from your anarchist comrades in #NES
10.11.25 - 16.11.25
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# SYRIAN MINISTRY OF INTERIOR COUNTER-ISIS OPERATION
On November 8, the Syrian Ministry of Interior (MoI) began a nationwide “preemptive” operation aimed at dismantling Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) logistics and leadership networks. The MoI spokesperson reported that the counter-ISIS operation was launched in response to intelligence suggesting ISIS's intent to reactivate its networks throughout Syria on the “eve of Syria joining the international coalition.” He cautioned that ISIS is likely to leverage Syria’s entry into the coalition as an opportunity to enhance its youth recruitment efforts and anticipates an uptick in ISIS activities post-integration.
These declarations make echo to recent information regarding two ISIS assassination attempts on Al-Sharaa.
# SYRIA JOINS GLOBAL COALITION AGAINST ISIS
Al-Sharaa and the Syrian Foreign Affairs Minister Asaad al Shaibani met with Trump, and other US officials on November 10. The US State, Commerce, and Treasury departments announced shortly after the meeting that they suspended the Caesar Act for another six months.
Trump and Shara also discussed Syria’s ongoing negotiations with Israel and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The US, Syrian, and Turkish foreign ministers also met following Al-Sharaa’s meeting with Trump to discuss the integration of the SDF into the ranks of the new Syrian army and the implementation of the March 10 agreement.
On the same day, Syria signed a declaration to join the Global Coalition Against the ISIS. It is a declaration of “political cooperation” that does not yet include military components. The exact terms of Syria’s role in the coalition are still up for discussion.
# ASSADIST CELL SUPPORTED BY IRAN
On November 12, the Syrian General Security Service (GSS) dismantled an Assadist insurgent cell in Tartous Province.
The MoI reported that the insurgent cell was led by a Shia cleric who had previously cooperated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
The reported activities and recruitment efforts of this cell suggest it may have garnered some local support. Indeed, the delayed detection of the group by the MoI suggests local inhabitants did not immediately report the existence of this insurgent network and might support, at least in principle, its activities.
The MoI asserted that the leader of the insurgent cell has been affiliated with the IRGC in Syria for over four decades. While local accounts claim he was not directly linked to the IRGC or involved in combat operations, he seems to have received support from the IRGC and adopted its ideological framework.
# ALAWITE LEADER CALLS FOR ALAWITES TO ESTABLISH AN 'INDEPENDAT REGION'
The Men of Light (Saraya al Jawad), an Alawite insurgent organization, emerged in reaction to the coastal massacres of March 2025, which specifically targeted the Alawite population.
The leader of this organization recently asserted that the militia’s primary aim is to “confront” the regime of Al Shara, emphasizing that Alawites “cannot coexist” with entities responsible for orchestrating massacres against their community. Furthermore, the leader proclaimed that, should the Syrian transitional government fail to withdraw from the coastal region, the Alawite community possesses the legitimate right to establish “an independent region” to safeguard their existence.
The Men of Light retains limited support within Syria at this time. The Syrian transitional government maintains a strong political and security presence throughout the Syrian coastal region and is unlikely to withdraw from any government-controlled territory without an extremely significant threat to government forces or a change in government policy.
# CONTINUOUS DEVELOPMENT
- A local official with the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) survived an assassination attempt on Saturday evening in the eastern countryside of Deir ez-Zor.
- On Sunday, Druze armed groups responded to heavy gunfire from forces of the Syrian transitional government in the countryside of Suweyda.
- Electricity bills have increased by at least sixty times in Damascus. People living the city and its surroundings, who are already struggling with low incomes and long power cuts reacted by organizing protests.
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# EVALUATION
Syria is joining the coalition, which since the active war with ISIS has included some of the world's hegemonic forces: the United States and a number of European countries led by France. We see this as another step by Jolani towards creating a strong political foundation to remain in power. We have already written that the new Syrian government has begun work in the political sphere, creating a political party. They understand well that the military junta's lifespan is not long and that they need to become competitive in this field and gain the support of the population, not just former or current jihadists. The extent to which this is successful can be seen in the reaction of the Syrian people to the increase in electricity tariffs.
Economic issues are critically important here. The economic situation in Syria, including the north-eastern autonomous region, is not improving significantly even after the easing of sanctions. Poverty is one of the most serious problems, and the new government is exacerbating the situation by increasing taxes and tariffs. How successful it will be in securing the support that Jolani so desperately needs in such a situation is a very big question.
For almost a year after the seizure of power, the Syrian people have been protesting against various aspects of the new regime. The consequences of such expressions of dissent often end in massacres, as was the case in Latakia and Suwayda. Nevertheless, the example of north-eastern Syria is still a possible alternative which, in contrast to the dictatorial but relatively stable regime of Assad and then the jihadist chaos, presents itself as the best solution for the regions.
While advocating for the integrity of the Syrian nation-state, Jolani was unable to implement this vision, and Syria is now divided into four regions, in three of which the new government is not accepted by the majority of the population. Whether this is a sign of subsequent federalisation and the strengthening of autonomy in other areas of Syria is an important question.
Turning specifically to north-eastern Syria, we can say that the Syrian regime is still not engaging in open confrontation. At the moment, there are minor provocations and blockades of logistics routes, i.e. attempts to exert economic pressure. After the fall of the Assad regime, new opportunities certainly opened up, but North-East Syria was not and has not become so dependent on Damascus in this regard. This covert economic blockade is noticeable but does not cause major problems because, after more than a decade of revolution, the region has gained some economic stability and immunity to such changes.
There is very little time left until the end of 2025. These weeks may reveal the results of this turbulent year's diplomacy and hint at possible future events in the coming winter. Stay tuned and follow the developments of the revolution with us.
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